Articles | Volume 17, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-181-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A global perspective on past and future change in regional seasonal cycle shape
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- Final revised paper (published on 10 Feb 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 23 Jul 2025)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3360', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Aug 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Eva Holtanova, 17 Oct 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3360', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 Sep 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Eva Holtanova, 17 Oct 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Oct 2025) by Olivia Martius
AR by Eva Holtanova on behalf of the Authors (30 Oct 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Nov 2025) by Olivia Martius
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (21 Nov 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (01 Dec 2025)
ED: Publish as is (02 Dec 2025) by Olivia Martius
AR by Eva Holtanova on behalf of the Authors (10 Dec 2025)
Manuscript
This study uses a new methodology based on Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to analyze changes in the annual cycle of temperature for different regions of the globe. Changes are examined for the second half of the 20th century and projections into the end of the 21st century. Two reanalysis products (CERA20C and ERA5) and five CMIP6 earths system models are analyzed. Specific diagnostics of the annual cycle documented are the changes in absolute temperature, shifts in the maximum temperature, absolute velocity, and changes in the amplitude of the seasonal cycle.
The study is interesting and presents valuable diagnostics for understanding past and future changes in the annual cycle. I feel this paper is a valuable contribution to the literature. A few comments are listed below.
Line 193-194: Can you expand here on why there may be disagreement between the reanalyses in these situations, and if one may be more believable?
Line 277-278: In Figure 9, it appears to me that the EEU and NWN have experienced an increase in amplitude. Please clarify.
Discussion: I think it should also be considered how the number of assimilated observations in the reanalysis products changes between the 2 observed periods (1951-1980 and 1981-2010), and what effect this may have on the results.