Articles | Volume 17, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-107-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-107-2026
Research article
 | 
16 Jan 2026
Research article |  | 16 Jan 2026

A theoretical framework to understand sources of error in Earth System Model emulation

Christopher B. Womack, Glenn Flierl, Shahine Bouabid, Andre N. Souza, Paolo Giani, Sebastian D. Eastham, and Noelle E. Selin

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3792', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Sep 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Christopher Womack, 28 Oct 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3792', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 Sep 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Christopher Womack, 28 Oct 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (29 Oct 2025) by Ben Kravitz
AR by Christopher Womack on behalf of the Authors (10 Nov 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Nov 2025) by Ben Kravitz
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (29 Nov 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (05 Dec 2025)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Dec 2025) by Ben Kravitz
AR by Christopher Womack on behalf of the Authors (12 Dec 2025)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Climate emulators allow for rapid projections without the computational costs associated with full-scale climate models. Here, we outline a framework to compare a variety of emulation techniques both theoretically and practically through a series of stress tests that expose common sources of emulator error. Our results help clarify which emulators are best suited for different tasks and show how future climate scenarios can be used to support emulator design.
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