Articles | Volume 17, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
05 Jan 2026
Research article |
| 05 Jan 2026
| 05 Jan 2026
CMIP6 multi-model assessment of Northeast Atlantic and German Bight storm activity
Daniel Krieger
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Institute of Oceanography, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Institute of Coastal Systems – Analysis and Modeling, Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany
Institute of Coastal Systems – Analysis and Modeling, Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany
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Short summary
We analyze storms over the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and the German Bight and how their statistics change over past, present, and future. We look at data from many different climate model runs that cover a variety of possible future climate states. We find that storms are generally predicted to be weaker in the future, even though the wind directions that typically happen during storms occur more frequently. We also find that the most extreme storms may become more likely than nowadays.
We analyze storms over the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and the German Bight and how their...
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