Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1153-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
18 Jul 2025
Research article |
| 18 Jul 2025
| 18 Jul 2025
Uncertainty quantification for overshoots of tipping thresholds
Related authors
Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 1117–1135, 2024
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 433–442, 2023
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1667–1675, 2022
Cited articles
Alkhayuon, H., Ashwin, P., Jackson, L. C., Quinn, C., and Wood, R. A.: Basin bifurcations, oscillatory instability and rate-induced thresholds for Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a global oceanic box model, P. R. Soc. A, 475, 20190051, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2019.0051, 2019. a
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R., Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J., and Lenton, T. M.: Exceeding 1.5 °C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points, Science, 377, eabn7950, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950, 2022. a, b, c, d
Ashwin, P., Wieczorek, S., Vitolo, R., and Cox, P.: Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system, Philos. T. R. Soc. A, 370, 1166–1184, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0306, 2012. a, b
Ben-Yami, M., Skiba, V., Bathiany, S., and Boers, N.: Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation, Nat. Commun., 14, 8344, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44046-9, 2023. a
Bochow, N., Poltronieri, A., Robinson, A., Rypdal, M., and Boers, N.: Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet, Nature, 622, 528–536, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06503-9, 2023. a, b
