Articles | Volume 14, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1295-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1295-2023
Research article
 | 
13 Dec 2023
Research article |  | 13 Dec 2023

Scenario choice impacts carbon allocation projection at global warming levels

Lee de Mora, Ranjini Swaminathan, Richard P. Allan, Jerry C. Blackford, Douglas I. Kelley, Phil Harris, Chris D. Jones, Colin G. Jones, Spencer Liddicoat, Robert J. Parker, Tristan Quaife, Jeremy Walton, and Andrew Yool

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Cited articles

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We investigate the flux of carbon from the atmosphere into the land surface and ocean for multiple models and over a range of future scenarios. We did this by comparing simulations after the same change in the global-mean near-surface temperature. Using this method, we show that the choice of scenario can impact the carbon allocation to the land, ocean, and atmosphere. Scenarios with higher emissions reach the same warming levels sooner, but also with relatively more carbon in the atmosphere.
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