Articles | Volume 14, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023
ESD Ideas
 | Highlight paper
 | 
18 Oct 2023
ESD Ideas | Highlight paper |  | 18 Oct 2023

ESD Ideas: Translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world

Ed Hawkins, Gilbert P. Compo, and Prashant D. Sardeshmukh

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-665', Joseph Barsugli, 11 Apr 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023
    • AC4: 'Additional note', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-665', Davide Faranda, 13 Apr 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023
    • AC4: 'Additional note', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-665', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 May 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023
    • AC4: 'Additional note', Ed Hawkins, 10 Jun 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (19 Jun 2023) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Ed Hawkins on behalf of the Authors (10 Aug 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 Aug 2023) by Gabriele Messori
RR by Davide Faranda (31 Aug 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (18 Sep 2023)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (18 Sep 2023) by Gabriele Messori
AR by Ed Hawkins on behalf of the Authors (20 Sep 2023)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Chief editor
This paper proposes a novel method for translating past observed extreme weather events into current or future climates. It illustrates this with the analysis of an extreme windstorm that occurred in 1903. The latter storm would likely be more damaging if it occurred today rather than 120 years ago.
Short summary
Adapting to climate change requires an understanding of how extreme weather events are changing. We propose a new approach to examine how the consequences of a particular weather pattern have been made worse by climate change, using an example of a severe windstorm that occurred in 1903. When this storm is translated into a warmer world, it produces higher wind speeds and increased rainfall, suggesting that this storm would be more damaging if it occurred today rather than 120 years ago.
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