Articles | Volume 12, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 709–723, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-709-2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 709–723, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-709-2021

Research article 17 Jun 2021

Research article | 17 Jun 2021

Bayesian estimation of Earth's climate sensitivity and transient climate response from observational warming and heat content datasets

Philip Goodwin and B. B. Cael

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Dec 2020) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by P. Goodwin on behalf of the Authors (26 Mar 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Mar 2021) by Andrey Gritsun
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (31 Mar 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Apr 2021) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by P. Goodwin on behalf of the Authors (22 Apr 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (18 May 2021) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by P. Goodwin on behalf of the Authors (19 May 2021)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
Climate sensitivity is a key measure of how sensitive Earth's climate is to human release of greenhouse gasses, such as from fossil fuels. However, there is still uncertainty as to the value of climate sensitivity, in part because different climate feedbacks operate over multiple timescales. This study assesses hundreds of millions of climate simulations against historical observations to reduce uncertainty in climate sensitivity and future climate warming.
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