Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 327–351, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021

Research article 30 Mar 2021

Research article | 30 Mar 2021

Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services

Anita D. Bayer et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Dec 2020) by Somnath Baidya Roy
AR by Anita Bayer on behalf of the Authors (04 Jan 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Jan 2021) by Somnath Baidya Roy
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (14 Jan 2021)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (24 Jan 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (02 Feb 2021) by Somnath Baidya Roy
AR by Anita Bayer on behalf of the Authors (10 Feb 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (14 Feb 2021) by Somnath Baidya Roy
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Short summary
Many projections of future land-use/-cover exist. We evaluate a number of these and determine the variability they cause in ecosystems and their services. We found that projections differ a lot in regional patterns, with some patterns being at least questionable in a historical context. Across ecosystem service indicators, resulting variability until 2040 was highest in crop production. Results emphasize that such variability should be acknowledged in assessments of future ecosystem provisions.
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