Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-327-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
30 Mar 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 30 Mar 2021
| 30 Mar 2021
Diverging land-use projections cause large variability in their impacts on ecosystems and related indicators for ecosystem services
Anita D. Bayer
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Richard Fuchs
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Reinhard Mey
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Andreas Krause
Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences Weihenstephan, 85354 Freising, Germany
Peter H. Verburg
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, 1081HV Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Peter Anthoni
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Almut Arneth
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Viewed
Total article views: 5,192 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 26 Jun 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,241 | 835 | 116 | 5,192 | 307 | 106 | 118 |
- HTML: 4,241
- PDF: 835
- XML: 116
- Total: 5,192
- Supplement: 307
- BibTeX: 106
- EndNote: 118
Total article views: 4,521 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 30 Mar 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,876 | 563 | 82 | 4,521 | 167 | 69 | 76 |
- HTML: 3,876
- PDF: 563
- XML: 82
- Total: 4,521
- Supplement: 167
- BibTeX: 69
- EndNote: 76
Total article views: 671 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 26 Jun 2020)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | 272 | 34 | 671 | 140 | 37 | 42 |
- HTML: 365
- PDF: 272
- XML: 34
- Total: 671
- Supplement: 140
- BibTeX: 37
- EndNote: 42
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 5,192 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,856 with geography defined
and 336 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 4,521 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,242 with geography defined
and 279 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 671 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 614 with geography defined
and 57 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024
- The influence of thinning and prescribed burning on future forest fires in fire-prone regions of Europe S. Rabin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6312
- Comparing trends of crop and pasture in future land-use scenarios for climate change mitigation M. Malbranque et al. 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.05.003
- Assembling the climate story: use of storyline approaches in climate‐related science E. Baulenas et al. 10.1002/gch2.202200183
- Comparative Study of Potential Habitats for Two Endemic Grassland Caterpillars on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on BIOMOD2 and Land Use Data C. Li et al. 10.3390/insects15100781
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- Integrated High-Resolution, Continental-Scale Land Change Forecasting M. Calderón-Loor et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4182415
- Potential of land-based climate change mitigation strategies on abandoned cropland M. Gvein et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00696-7
- The legacy of intensive agricultural history on the soil health of (sub)tropical landscapes S. Crow et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2022.991262
- Benefits and trade-offs of optimizing global land use for food, water, and carbon A. Bayer et al. 10.1073/pnas.2220371120
- Changes in multiple ecosystem services and their influencing factors in Nordic countries X. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109847
- Prediction of the potential distribution pattern of the great gerbil (Rhombomys opimus) under climate change based on ensemble modelling X. Wen et al. 10.1002/ps.6939
- Integrated high-resolution, continental-scale land change forecasting M. Calderón-Loor et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105749
- A Review of Driving Factors, Scenarios, and Topics in Urban Land Change Models Y. Kim et al. 10.3390/land9080246
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Fire weather compromises forestation-reliant climate mitigation pathways F. Jäger et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1055-2024
- The influence of thinning and prescribed burning on future forest fires in fire-prone regions of Europe S. Rabin et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac6312
- Comparing trends of crop and pasture in future land-use scenarios for climate change mitigation M. Malbranque et al. 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.05.003
- Assembling the climate story: use of storyline approaches in climate‐related science E. Baulenas et al. 10.1002/gch2.202200183
- Comparative Study of Potential Habitats for Two Endemic Grassland Caterpillars on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on BIOMOD2 and Land Use Data C. Li et al. 10.3390/insects15100781
- Land Use Effects on Climate: Current State, Recent Progress, and Emerging Topics J. Pongratz et al. 10.1007/s40641-021-00178-y
- Integrated High-Resolution, Continental-Scale Land Change Forecasting M. Calderón-Loor et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4182415
- Potential of land-based climate change mitigation strategies on abandoned cropland M. Gvein et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00696-7
- The legacy of intensive agricultural history on the soil health of (sub)tropical landscapes S. Crow et al. 10.3389/fenvs.2022.991262
- Benefits and trade-offs of optimizing global land use for food, water, and carbon A. Bayer et al. 10.1073/pnas.2220371120
- Changes in multiple ecosystem services and their influencing factors in Nordic countries X. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109847
- Prediction of the potential distribution pattern of the great gerbil (Rhombomys opimus) under climate change based on ensemble modelling X. Wen et al. 10.1002/ps.6939
- Integrated high-resolution, continental-scale land change forecasting M. Calderón-Loor et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105749
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Short summary
Many projections of future land-use/-cover exist. We evaluate a number of these and determine the variability they cause in ecosystems and their services. We found that projections differ a lot in regional patterns, with some patterns being at least questionable in a historical context. Across ecosystem service indicators, resulting variability until 2040 was highest in crop production. Results emphasize that such variability should be acknowledged in assessments of future ecosystem provisions.
Many projections of future land-use/-cover exist. We evaluate a number of these and determine...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint