Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020
Research article
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17 Aug 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 17 Aug 2020

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, and Mark S. Williamson

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (07 Apr 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Femke J. M. M. Nijsse on behalf of the Authors (01 May 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 May 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 Jun 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (09 Jun 2020)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (25 Jun 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Femke J. M. M. Nijsse on behalf of the Authors (05 Jul 2020)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (14 Jul 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Femke J. M. M. Nijsse on behalf of the Authors (16 Jul 2020)
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Short summary
One of the key questions in climate science is how much more heating we will get for a given rise in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. A new generation of models showed that this might be more than previously expected. Comparing the new models to observed temperature rise since 1970, we show that there is no need to revise the estimate upwards. Air pollution, whose effect on climate warming is poorly understood, stopped rising, allowing us to better constrain the greenhouse gas signal.
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