Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 737–750, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 737–750, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-737-2020

Research article 17 Aug 2020

Research article | 17 Aug 2020

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Femke J. M. M. Nijsse et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (07 Apr 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Femke J. M. M. Nijsse on behalf of the Authors (01 May 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 May 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 Jun 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (09 Jun 2020)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (25 Jun 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
AR by Femke J. M. M. Nijsse on behalf of the Authors (05 Jul 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (14 Jul 2020) by Valerio Lucarini
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Short summary
One of the key questions in climate science is how much more heating we will get for a given rise in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. A new generation of models showed that this might be more than previously expected. Comparing the new models to observed temperature rise since 1970, we show that there is no need to revise the estimate upwards. Air pollution, whose effect on climate warming is poorly understood, stopped rising, allowing us to better constrain the greenhouse gas signal.
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