04 Oct 2022
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint
Aurélien Ribes, Julien Boé, Saïd Qasmi, Brigitte Dubuisson, Hervé Douville, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1397–1415, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022, 2022 | 16,698 views
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08 Dec 2022
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Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021
Sjoukje Y. Philip, Sarah F. Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Faron S. Anslow, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Robert Vautard, Dim Coumou, Kristie L. Ebi, Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, Maarten van Aalst, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Michael Wehner, Wenchang Yang, Sihan Li, Dominik L. Schumacher, Mathias Hauser, Rémy Bonnet, Linh N. Luu, Flavio Lehner, Nathan Gillett, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Chris Rodell, Roland B. Stull, Rosie Howard, and Friederike E. L. Otto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1689–1713, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022, 2022 | 11,851 views
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22 Feb 2023
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Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study
Jiajun Wu, David P. Keller, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 185–221, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023, 2023 | 7,444 views
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28 Mar 2023
The deployment length of solar radiation modification: an interplay of mitigation, net-negative emissions and climate uncertainty
Susanne Baur, Alexander Nauels, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 367–381, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-367-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-367-2023, 2023 | 4,225 views
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14 Jun 2023
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Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems
Paul D. L. Ritchie, Hassan Alkhayuon, Peter M. Cox, and Sebastian Wieczorek
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 669–683, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-669-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-669-2023, 2023 | 3,831 views
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07 Nov 2022
On the additivity of climate responses to the volcanic and solar forcing in the early 19th century
Shih-Wei Fang, Claudia Timmreck, Johann Jungclaus, Kirstin Krüger, and Hauke Schmidt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1535–1555, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1535-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1535-2022, 2022 | 3,319 views
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14 Feb 2023
Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series
Taylor Smith, Ruxandra-Maria Zotta, Chris A. Boulton, Timothy M. Lenton, Wouter Dorigo, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 173–183, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023, 2023 | 3,161 views
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16 May 2023
Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing
Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Hugo Beltrami, Almudena García-García, Gerhard Krinner, Moritz Langer, Andrew H. MacDougall, Jan Nitzbon, Jian Peng, Karina von Schuckmann, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Wim Thiery, Inne Vanderkelen, and Tonghua Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 609–627, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-609-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-609-2023, 2023 | 3,027 views
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14 Apr 2023
The future of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation: using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences
Nicola Maher, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Pedro DiNezio, Jeremy Klavans, Sebastian Milinski, Sara C. Sanchez, Samantha Stevenson, Malte F. Stuecker, and Xian Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 413–431, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023, 2023 | 2,858 views
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20 Jun 2023
Past and future response of the North Atlantic warming hole to anthropogenic forcing
Saïd Qasmi
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 685–695, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-685-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-685-2023, 2023 | 2,687 views
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11 Nov 2022
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations
Claudia Tebaldi, Abigail Snyder, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1557–1609, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022, 2022 | 2,659 views
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21 Apr 2023
Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe
Tamzin E. Palmer, Carol F. McSweeney, Ben B. B. Booth, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Paolo Davini, Lukas Brunner, Leonard Borchert, and Matthew B. Menary
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 457–483, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023, 2023 | 2,653 views
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12 Apr 2023
How does the phytoplankton–light feedback affect the marine N2O inventory?
Sarah Berthet, Julien Jouanno, Roland Séférian, Marion Gehlen, and William Llovel
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 399–412, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-399-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-399-2023, 2023 | 2,514 views
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24 Nov 2022
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Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models
Isobel M. Parry, Paul D. L. Ritchie, and Peter M. Cox
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1667–1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022, 2022 | 2,444 views
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17 Oct 2022
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era
Nidheesh Gangadharan, Hugues Goosse, David Parkes, Heiko Goelzer, Fabien Maussion, and Ben Marzeion
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1417–1435, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022, 2022 | 2,351 views
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30 Aug 2023
Working at the limit: a review of thermodynamics and optimality of the Earth system
Axel Kleidon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 861–896, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-861-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-861-2023, 2023 | 2,330 views
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25 Jan 2023
Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios
Yangxin Chen, Duoying Ji, Qian Zhang, John C. Moore, Olivier Boucher, Andy Jones, Thibaut Lurton, Michael J. Mills, Ulrike Niemeier, Roland Séférian, and Simone Tilmes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 55–79, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-55-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-55-2023, 2023 | 2,321 views
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01 Feb 2023
Reconstructions and predictions of the global carbon budget with an emission-driven Earth system model
Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Tammas Loughran, Aaron Spring, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 101–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023, 2023 | 2,310 views
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23 Nov 2022
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations
Jörg Schwinger, Ali Asaadi, Norman Julius Steinert, and Hanna Lee
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1641–1665, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022, 2022 | 2,204 views
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16 May 2023
Stable stadial and interstadial states of the last glacial's climate identified in a combined stable water isotope and dust record from Greenland
Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão, Forough Hassanibesheli, Pedro G. Lind, Dirk Witthaut, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 593–607, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-593-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-593-2023, 2023 | 2,157 views
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26 Jan 2023
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Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change
Iris Elisabeth de Vries, Sebastian Sippel, Angeline Greene Pendergrass, and Reto Knutti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 81–100, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-81-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-81-2023, 2023 | 2,104 views
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26 Apr 2023
Countries most exposed to individual and concurrent extremes and near-permanent extreme conditions at different global warming levels
Fulden Batibeniz, Mathias Hauser, and Sonia Isabelle Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 485–505, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-485-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-485-2023, 2023 | 2,060 views
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23 Feb 2023
Spatiotemporal changes in the boreal forest in Siberia over the period 1985–2015 against the background of climate change
Wenxue Fu, Lei Tian, Yu Tao, Mingyang Li, and Huadong Guo
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 223–239, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-223-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-223-2023, 2023 | 2,057 views
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03 Feb 2023
Assessing sensitivities of climate model weighting to multiple methods, variables, and domains in the south-central United States
Adrienne M. Wootten, Elias C. Massoud, Duane E. Waliser, and Huikyo Lee
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 121–145, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023, 2023 | 2,052 views
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01 Nov 2022
Disentangling the climate divide with emotional patterns: a network-based mindset reconstruction approach
Roger Cremades and Massimo Stella
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1473–1489, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022, 2022 | 1,988 views
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04 Aug 2023
The link between European warm-temperature extremes and atmospheric persistence
Emma Holmberg, Gabriele Messori, Rodrigo Caballero, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 737–765, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-737-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-737-2023, 2023 | 1,982 views
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24 Jan 2023
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments
Aobo Liu, John C. Moore, and Yating Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 39–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023, 2023 | 1,964 views
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05 Dec 2022
Governing change: a dynamical systems approach to understanding the stability of environmental governance
Nusrat Molla, John DeIonno, Thilo Gross, and Jonathan Herman
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1677–1688, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1677-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1677-2022, 2022 | 1,910 views
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17 Apr 2023
Emergent constraints for the climate system as effective parameters of bulk differential equations
Chris Huntingford, Peter M. Cox, Mark S. Williamson, Joseph J. Clarke, and Paul D. L. Ritchie
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 433–442, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-433-2023, 2023 | 1,899 views
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11 Apr 2023
Time-varying changes and uncertainties in the CMIP6 ocean carbon sink from global to local scale
Parsa Gooya, Neil C. Swart, and Roberta C. Hamme
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 383–398, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-383-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-383-2023, 2023 | 1,834 views
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27 Feb 2023
The response of the regional longwave radiation balance and climate system in Europe to an idealized afforestation experiment
Marcus Breil, Felix Krawczyk, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 243–253, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-243-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-243-2023, 2023 | 1,824 views
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24 Feb 2023
Editorial: Global warming is due to an enhanced greenhouse effect, and anthropogenic heat emissions currently play a negligible role at the global scale
Axel Kleidon, Gabriele Messori, Somnath Baidya Roy, Ira Didenkulova, and Ning Zeng
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 241–242, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-241-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-241-2023, 2023 | 1,794 views
26 Apr 2023
Overview: The Baltic Earth Assessment Reports (BEAR)
H. E. Markus Meier, Marcus Reckermann, Joakim Langner, Ben Smith, and Ira Didenkulova
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 519–531, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-519-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-519-2023, 2023 | 1,765 views
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21 Mar 2023
Regime-oriented causal model evaluation of Atlantic–Pacific teleconnections in CMIP6
Soufiane Karmouche, Evgenia Galytska, Jakob Runge, Gerald A. Meehl, Adam S. Phillips, Katja Weigel, and Veronika Eyring
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 309–344, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-309-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-309-2023, 2023 | 1,728 views
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19 Oct 2022
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Pablo Ortega, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Margarida Samsó, and Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1437–1450, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022, 2022 | 1,686 views
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09 Jan 2023
Global and northern-high-latitude net ecosystem production in the 21st century from CMIP6 experiments
Han Qiu, Dalei Hao, Yelu Zeng, Xuesong Zhang, and Min Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1-2023, 2023 | 1,658 views
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18 Nov 2022
Regional dynamical and statistical downscaling temperature, humidity and wind speed for the Beijing region under stratospheric aerosol injection geoengineering
Jun Wang, John C. Moore, Liyun Zhao, Chao Yue, and Zhenhua Di
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1625–1640, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1625-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1625-2022, 2022 | 1,652 views
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26 Apr 2023
Direct and indirect application of univariate and multivariate bias corrections on heat-stress indices based on multiple regional-climate-model simulations
Liying Qiu, Eun-Soon Im, Seung-Ki Min, Yeon-Hee Kim, Dong-Hyun Cha, Seok-Woo Shin, Joong-Bae Ahn, Eun-Chul Chang, and Young-Hwa Byun
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 507–517, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-507-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-507-2023, 2023 | 1,637 views
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21 Mar 2023
Multi-million-year cycles in modelled δ13C as a response to astronomical forcing of organic matter fluxes
Gaëlle Leloup and Didier Paillard
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 291–307, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-291-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-291-2023, 2023 | 1,612 views
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03 May 2023
Tracing the Snowball bifurcation of aquaplanets through time reveals a fundamental shift in critical-state dynamics
Georg Feulner, Mona Bukenberger, and Stefan Petri
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 533–547, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-533-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-533-2023, 2023 | 1,595 views
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08 Sep 2023
A 20-year satellite-reanalysis-based climatology of extreme precipitation characteristics over the Sinai Peninsula
Mohsen Soltani, Bert Hamelers, Abbas Mofidi, Christopher G. Fletcher, Arie Staal, Stefan C. Dekker, Patrick Laux, Joel Arnault, Harald Kunstmann, Ties van der Hoeven, and Maarten Lanters
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 931–953, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-931-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-931-2023, 2023 | 1,586 views
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01 Mar 2023
Ensemble forecast of an index of the Madden–Julian Oscillation using a stochastic weather generator based on circulation analogs
Meriem Krouma, Riccardo Silini, and Pascal Yiou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 273–290, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-273-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-273-2023, 2023 | 1,549 views
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12 Jan 2023
Evaluation of global teleconnections in CMIP6 climate projections using complex networks
Clementine Dalelane, Kristina Winderlich, and Andreas Walter
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 17–37, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-17-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-17-2023, 2023 | 1,538 views
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28 Oct 2022
Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables
Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez, Sungmin O, Alexander Brenning, Randal D. Koster, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Ulrich Weber, Gabriele Arduini, Ana Bastos, Markus Reichstein, and René Orth
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1451–1471, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022, 2022 | 1,342 views
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01 Mar 2023
Persistent La Niñas drive joint soybean harvest failures in North and South America
Raed Hamed, Sem Vijverberg, Anne F. Van Loon, Jeroen Aerts, and Dim Coumou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 255–272, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-255-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-255-2023, 2023 | 1,328 views
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08 Feb 2023
Seasonal forecasting skill for the High Mountain Asia region in the Goddard Earth Observing System
Elias C. Massoud, Lauren Andrews, Rolf Reichle, Andrea Molod, Jongmin Park, Sophie Ruehr, and Manuela Girotto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 147–171, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-147-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-147-2023, 2023 | 1,288 views
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19 Dec 2022
Potential for bias in effective climate sensitivity from state-dependent energetic imbalance
Benjamin M. Sanderson and Maria Rugenstein
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1715–1736, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1715-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1715-2022, 2022 | 1,219 views
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21 Mar 2023
The implications of maintaining Earth's hemispheric albedo symmetry for shortwave radiative feedbacks
Aiden R. Jönsson and Frida A.-M. Bender
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 345–365, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-345-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-345-2023, 2023 | 1,218 views
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18 Apr 2023
The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends
Manoj Joshi, Robert A. Hall, David P. Stevens, and Ed Hawkins
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 443–455, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-443-2023, 2023 | 1,188 views
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29 Aug 2023
The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)
Mattia Righi, Johannes Hendricks, and Sabine Brinkop
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 835–859, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-835-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-835-2023, 2023 | 1,147 views
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