Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
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04 Oct 2022
An updated assessment of past and future warming over France based on a regional observational constraint
Aurélien Ribes, Julien Boé, Saïd Qasmi, Brigitte Dubuisson, Hervé Douville, and Laurent Terray
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1397–1415, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1397-2022, 2022 | 13,300 views
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15 Jun 2022
Lotka's wheel and the long arm of history: how does the distant past determine today's global rate of energy consumption?
Timothy J. Garrett, Matheus R. Grasselli, and Stephen Keen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1021–1028, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1021-2022, 2022 | 7,376 views
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08 Dec 2022
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Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021
Sjoukje Y. Philip, Sarah F. Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Faron S. Anslow, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Robert Vautard, Dim Coumou, Kristie L. Ebi, Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, Maarten van Aalst, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Michael Wehner, Wenchang Yang, Sihan Li, Dominik L. Schumacher, Mathias Hauser, Rémy Bonnet, Linh N. Luu, Flavio Lehner, Nathan Gillett, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Chris Rodell, Roland B. Stull, Rosie Howard, and Friederike E. L. Otto
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1689–1713, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022, 2022 | 6,907 views
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13 Apr 2022
Indian Ocean marine biogeochemical variability and its feedback on simulated South Asia climate
Dmitry V. Sein, Anton Y. Dvornikov, Stanislav D. Martyanov, William Cabos, Vladimir A. Ryabchenko, Matthias Gröger, Daniela Jacob, Alok Kumar Mishra, and Pankaj Kumar
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 809–831, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-809-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-809-2022, 2022 | 5,659 views
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16 May 2022
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Multi-century dynamics of the climate and carbon cycle under both high and net negative emissions scenarios
Charles D. Koven, Vivek K. Arora, Patricia Cadule, Rosie A. Fisher, Chris D. Jones, David M. Lawrence, Jared Lewis, Keith Lindsay, Sabine Mathesius, Malte Meinshausen, Michael Mills, Zebedee Nicholls, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Roland Séférian, Neil C. Swart, William R. Wieder, and Kirsten Zickfeld
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 885–909, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-885-2022, 2022 | 5,312 views
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11 Apr 2022
Global climate change and the Baltic Sea ecosystem: direct and indirect effects on species, communities and ecosystem functioning
Markku Viitasalo and Erik Bonsdorff
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 711–747, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-711-2022, 2022 | 4,763 views
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22 Feb 2023
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Carbon dioxide removal via macroalgae open-ocean mariculture and sinking: an Earth system modeling study
Jiajun Wu, David P. Keller, and Andreas Oschlies
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 185–221, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-185-2023, 2023 | 4,526 views
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31 Mar 2022
Biogeochemical functioning of the Baltic Sea
Karol Kuliński, Gregor Rehder, Eero Asmala, Alena Bartosova, Jacob Carstensen, Bo Gustafsson, Per O. J. Hall, Christoph Humborg, Tom Jilbert, Klaus Jürgens, H. E. Markus Meier, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Michael Naumann, Jørgen E. Olesen, Oleg Savchuk, Andreas Schramm, Caroline P. Slomp, Mikhail Sofiev, Anna Sobek, Beata Szymczycha, and Emma Undeman
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 633–685, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-633-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-633-2022, 2022 | 3,940 views
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13 Apr 2022
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Coupling human and natural systems for sustainability: experience from China's Loess Plateau
Bojie Fu, Xutong Wu, Zhuangzhuang Wang, Xilin Wu, and Shuai Wang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 795–808, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-795-2022, 2022 | 3,859 views
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11 Apr 2022
Extreme weather and societal impacts in the eastern Mediterranean
Assaf Hochman, Francesco Marra, Gabriele Messori, Joaquim G. Pinto, Shira Raveh-Rubin, Yizhak Yosef, and Georgios Zittis
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 749–777, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-749-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-749-2022, 2022 | 3,815 views
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19 Apr 2022
Divergent historical GPP trends among state-of-the-art multi-model simulations and satellite-based products
Ruqi Yang, Jun Wang, Ning Zeng, Stephen Sitch, Wenhan Tang, Matthew Joseph McGrath, Qixiang Cai, Di Liu, Danica Lombardozzi, Hanqin Tian, Atul K. Jain, and Pengfei Han
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 833–849, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-833-2022, 2022 | 3,697 views
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13 Apr 2022
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Impact of bioenergy crop expansion on climate–carbon cycle feedbacks in overshoot scenarios
Irina Melnikova, Olivier Boucher, Patricia Cadule, Katsumasa Tanaka, Thomas Gasser, Tomohiro Hajima, Yann Quilcaille, Hideo Shiogama, Roland Séférian, Kaoru Tachiiri, Nicolas Vuichard, Tokuta Yokohata, and Philippe Ciais
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 779–794, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-779-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-779-2022, 2022 | 3,469 views
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01 Jun 2022
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Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century
Lizz Ultee, Sloan Coats, and Jonathan Mackay
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 935–959, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-935-2022, 2022 | 3,268 views
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05 Aug 2022
ESD Ideas: planetary antifragility: a new dimension in the definition of the safe operating space for humanity
Oliver López-Corona, Melanie Kolb, Elvia Ramírez-Carrillo, and Jon Lovett
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1145–1155, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1145-2022, 2022 | 3,119 views
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07 Nov 2022
On the additivity of climate responses to the volcanic and solar forcing in the early 19th century
Shih-Wei Fang, Claudia Timmreck, Johann Jungclaus, Kirstin Krüger, and Hauke Schmidt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1535–1555, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1535-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1535-2022, 2022 | 3,095 views
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18 May 2022
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Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high-resolution, site-specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes
Marco Hofmann, Claudia Volosciuk, Martin Dubrovský, Douglas Maraun, and Hans R. Schultz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 911–934, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-911-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-911-2022, 2022 | 3,011 views
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28 Apr 2022
MESMER-M: an Earth system model emulator for spatially resolved monthly temperature
Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Lea Beusch, Sonia I. Seneviratne, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 851–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-851-2022, 2022 | 2,898 views
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25 Aug 2022
The ExtremeX global climate model experiment: investigating thermodynamic and dynamic processes contributing to weather and climate extremes
Kathrin Wehrli, Fei Luo, Mathias Hauser, Hideo Shiogama, Daisuke Tokuda, Hyungjun Kim, Dim Coumou, Wilhelm May, Philippe Le Sager, Frank Selten, Olivia Martius, Robert Vautard, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1167–1196, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1167-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1167-2022, 2022 | 2,712 views
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29 Mar 2022
Widespread greening suggests increased dry-season plant water availability in the Rio Santa valley, Peruvian Andes
Lorenz Hänchen, Cornelia Klein, Fabien Maussion, Wolfgang Gurgiser, Pierluigi Calanca, and Georg Wohlfahrt
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 595–611, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-595-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-595-2022, 2022 | 2,634 views
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29 Sep 2022
Resilience of UK crop yields to compound climate change
Louise J. Slater, Chris Huntingford, Richard F. Pywell, John W. Redhead, and Elizabeth J. Kendon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1377–1396, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1377-2022, 2022 | 2,618 views
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22 Jul 2022
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt–elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks
Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, and Ricarda Winkelmann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1077–1096, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022, 2022 | 2,599 views
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02 Jun 2022
Present and future synoptic circulation patterns associated with cold and snowy spells over Italy
Miriam D'Errico, Flavio Pons, Pascal Yiou, Soulivanh Tao, Cesare Nardini, Frank Lunkeit, and Davide Faranda
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 961–992, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-961-2022, 2022 | 2,419 views
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30 Mar 2022
Atmospheric rivers in CMIP5 climate ensembles downscaled with a high-resolution regional climate model
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Cyril Dutheil, H. E. Markus Meier, and Dmitry V. Sein
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 613–631, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-613-2022, 2022 | 2,367 views
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10 May 2022
Inarticulate past: similarity properties of the ice–climate system and their implications for paleo-record attribution
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 879–884, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-879-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-879-2022, 2022 | 2,354 views
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14 Jun 2022
A methodology for the spatiotemporal identification of compound hazards: wind and precipitation extremes in Great Britain (1979–2019)
Aloïs Tilloy, Bruce D. Malamud, and Amélie Joly-Laugel
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 993–1020, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-993-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-993-2022, 2022 | 2,334 views
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01 Apr 2022
Evaluation of convection-permitting extreme precipitation simulations for the south of France
Linh N. Luu, Robert Vautard, Pascal Yiou, and Jean-Michel Soubeyroux
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 687–702, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-687-2022, 2022 | 2,205 views
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04 Jul 2022
A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps
Erwan Le Roux, Guillaume Evin, Nicolas Eckert, Juliette Blanchet, and Samuel Morin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1059–1075, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022, 2022 | 2,121 views
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28 Jul 2022
Contrasting projections of the ENSO-driven CO2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific under high-warming scenario
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Laurent Bopp, Jim R. Christian, Tatiana Ilyina, John P. Krasting, Roland Séférian, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Michio Watanabe, Andrew Yool, and Jerry Tjiputra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1097–1118, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1097-2022, 2022 | 2,063 views
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06 Sep 2022
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events
Nicola Maher, Thibault P. Tabarin, and Sebastian Milinski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1289–1304, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022, 2022 | 2,056 views
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04 Jul 2022
Effect of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on atmospheric pCO2 variations
Amber Boot, Anna S. von der Heydt, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1041–1058, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1041-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1041-2022, 2022 | 2,051 views
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17 Oct 2022
Process-based estimate of global-mean sea-level changes in the Common Era
Nidheesh Gangadharan, Hugues Goosse, David Parkes, Heiko Goelzer, Fabien Maussion, and Ben Marzeion
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1417–1435, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1417-2022, 2022 | 2,009 views
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05 Apr 2022
CO2 surface variability: from the stratosphere or not?
Michael J. Prather
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 703–709, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-703-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-703-2022, 2022 | 2,006 views
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27 Sep 2022
Trends and uncertainties of mass-driven sea-level change in the satellite altimetry era
Carolina M. L. Camargo, Riccardo E. M. Riva, Tim H. J. Hermans, and Aimée B. A. Slangen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1351–1375, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1351-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1351-2022, 2022 | 1,943 views
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29 Jul 2022
Estimating the lateral transfer of organic carbon through the European river network using a land surface model
Haicheng Zhang, Ronny Lauerwald, Pierre Regnier, Philippe Ciais, Kristof Van Oost, Victoria Naipal, Bertrand Guenet, and Wenping Yuan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1119–1144, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1119-2022, 2022 | 1,912 views
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11 Nov 2022
STITCHES: creating new scenarios of climate model output by stitching together pieces of existing simulations
Claudia Tebaldi, Abigail Snyder, and Kalyn Dorheim
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1557–1609, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1557-2022, 2022 | 1,905 views
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23 Nov 2022
Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitudes and durations
Jörg Schwinger, Ali Asaadi, Norman Julius Steinert, and Hanna Lee
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1641–1665, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1641-2022, 2022 | 1,765 views
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21 Jun 2022
Complex network analysis of fine particulate matter (PM2.5): transport and clustering
Na Ying, Wansuo Duan, Zhidan Zhao, and Jingfang Fan
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1029–1039, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1029-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1029-2022, 2022 | 1,655 views
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24 Nov 2022
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Evidence of localised Amazon rainforest dieback in CMIP6 models
Isobel M. Parry, Paul D. L. Ritchie, and Peter M. Cox
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1667–1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1667-2022, 2022 | 1,625 views
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05 Dec 2022
Governing change: a dynamical systems approach to understanding the stability of environmental governance
Nusrat Molla, John DeIonno, Thilo Gross, and Jonathan Herman
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1677–1688, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1677-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1677-2022, 2022 | 1,609 views
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01 Nov 2022
Disentangling the climate divide with emotional patterns: a network-based mindset reconstruction approach
Roger Cremades and Massimo Stella
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1473–1489, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1473-2022, 2022 | 1,566 views
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26 Aug 2022
Evaluating uncertainty in aerosol forcing of tropical precipitation shifts
Amy H. Peace, Ben B. B. Booth, Leighton A. Regayre, Ken S. Carslaw, David M. H. Sexton, Céline J. W. Bonfils, and John W. Rostron
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1215–1232, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1215-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1215-2022, 2022 | 1,467 views
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25 Jan 2023
Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios
Yangxin Chen, Duoying Ji, Qian Zhang, John C. Moore, Olivier Boucher, Andy Jones, Thibaut Lurton, Michael J. Mills, Ulrike Niemeier, Roland Séférian, and Simone Tilmes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 55–79, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-55-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-55-2023, 2023 | 1,373 views
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03 Feb 2023
Assessing sensitivities of climate model weighting to multiple methods, variables, and domains in the south-central United States
Adrienne M. Wootten, Elias C. Massoud, Duane E. Waliser, and Huikyo Lee
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 121–145, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-121-2023, 2023 | 1,370 views
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19 Oct 2022
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Pablo Ortega, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Margarida Samsó, and Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1437–1450, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1437-2022, 2022 | 1,338 views
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22 Aug 2022
How does the phytoplankton-light feedback affect marine N2O inventory?
Sarah Berthet, Julien Jouanno, Roland Séférian, Marion Gehlen, and William Llovel
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-28,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-28, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 4 comments) | 1,330 views
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18 Nov 2022
Regional dynamical and statistical downscaling temperature, humidity and wind speed for the Beijing region under stratospheric aerosol injection geoengineering
Jun Wang, John C. Moore, Liyun Zhao, Chao Yue, and Zhenhua Di
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1625–1640, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1625-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1625-2022, 2022 | 1,252 views
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24 Jan 2023
PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments
Aobo Liu, John C. Moore, and Yating Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 39–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-39-2023, 2023 | 1,220 views
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01 Feb 2023
Reconstructions and predictions of the global carbon budget with an emission-driven Earth system model
Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Tammas Loughran, Aaron Spring, and Julia Pongratz
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 101–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-101-2023, 2023 | 1,214 views
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14 Feb 2023
Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series
Taylor Smith, Ruxandra-Maria Zotta, Chris A. Boulton, Timothy M. Lenton, Wouter Dorigo, and Niklas Boers
Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 173–183, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-173-2023, 2023 | 1,189 views
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11 Aug 2022
The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences
Nicola Maher, Robert C. Jnglin Wills, Pedro DiNezio, Jeremy Klavans, Sebastian Milinski, Sara C. Sanchez, Samantha Stevenson, Malte F. Stuecker, and Xian Wu
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2022-26, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD (discussion: closed, 6 comments) | 1,123 views
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