This paper represents a state-of-the-art review of tipping points in the physical climate system. It should be of great value and use to inform the community about the current status of research on tipping points and global climate change.

This paper examines multi-century consequences of climate change following a simulated reversal of emissions from the SSP3-7.0 (high emissions) scenario in 2100 to net zero in 2250. It demonstrates the potential for very long-term, major committed impacts of the ongoing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.

This study challenges the conventional wisdom that the commitment to an Earth System tipping point occurs as soon as a critical threshold is crossed. The authors show that the number of elements that would undergo tipping is severely reduced if the duration of exceedance of the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C threshold can be kept below a century. Furthermore, the analysis suggests that all tipping elements would be avoided if global warming over 1.5 °C is restricted to 30 years and peak warming is kept below 2.5 °C. Consequently, the duration of exceedance of tipping thresholds matters.

Multi-model ensembles (MMEs) are widely used in climate science to quantify uncertainty. Yet, assembling an appropriate MME is fraught with challenges. Ensembles that are incorrectly assembled can do more harm than good. This article provides practical suggestions on developing MMEs. It will be a valuable resource for climate scientists wishing to use MMEs to address a wide range of questions related to climate and climate change.

This study identifies a potential instability in the global carbon cycle driven by feedbacks between climate, weathering, and ocean chemistry, suggesting abrupt shifts under extreme perturbations. Although the conditions required are severe, the findings reveal that Earth’s carbon system may have multiple stable states, with implications for climate tipping points. The work offers a crucial theoretical framework for understanding past and future carbon cycle disruptions, making it highly relevant to geoscientific and climate research.

This paper looks at constraints on future ocean heat uptake. The results suggest greater rates of 21st century ocean and atmospheric warming than previously assessed, calling into question methods using past warming to constrain future warming.

Climate models are some of our best tools for understanding future changes, especially how likely it is that we accomplish the goal of the Paris Agreement to keep warming to well below 2.0°C. Recent updates to radiative forcing estimates from greenhouse gases and tropospheric aerosols result in an increase in projected warming, substantially reducing the likelihood that we will meet the goals of the Paris Agreement.

While there are many dystopian articles on post-catastrophic scenarios, rigorous, science-based analysis are limited. This paper will be a significant addition to the limited literature in this area and should have broader public and media interests.

This paper offers the first cross-regional synthesis of stakeholder perspectives on multi-hazard risk drivers across Europe, providing empirically grounded insights into how hazard interactions, vulnerability dynamics and disaster risk reduction measures evolve over time. By integrating qualitative methods with multi-risk governance analysis, it promotes context-sensitive and actionable disaster risk knowledge. Its findings are highly relevant to the geosciences community working on risk modeling and hazard interactions and are also of great interest for practitioners, policymakers and media focusing on disaster risk governance, climate adaptation, and societal resilience.

Understanding impacts of climate extremes holds enormous societal and economic value, and is a key step towards climate resilience and adaptation. Notwithstanding recent advances in the field, there are unique challenges which hinder progress beyond the current state-of-the-art. This paper outlines three key challenges and identifies opportunities to address them, providing a pathway to advance interdisciplinary and inter-sectoral research on societal impacts of climate extremes.

This paper deals with the effects of solar geoengineering that aims to mitigate climate change by the injection of aerosols in the stratosphere. It uses climate model simulations to show that there could be an additional benefit in doing so as the models indicate an enhanced productivity of the biosphere, and thus a greater carbon sink. This is a significant insight that could stimulate more debate and analyses with regard to the pros and cons of geoengineering.