Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018
Research article
 | 
19 Mar 2018
Research article |  | 19 Mar 2018

Global drought and severe drought-affected populations in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds

Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Wee Ho Lim, Jie Zhang, Hong Wang, Hideo Shiogama, and Yuqing Zhang

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (10 Jan 2018) by Michel Crucifix
AR by Wenbin Liu on behalf of the Authors (19 Jan 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (22 Jan 2018) by Michel Crucifix
AR by Wenbin Liu on behalf of the Authors (23 Jan 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (24 Jan 2018) by Michel Crucifix
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (29 Jan 2018)
RR by Dimitri Defrance (16 Feb 2018)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (01 Mar 2018) by Michel Crucifix
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Short summary
This study is the first risk-based assessment of changes in global drought at 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds using CMIP5 models. By keeping the warming at 1.5 °C above the preindustrial levels instead of 2 °C, the risks of drought and the affected total, urban and rural populations would decrease at global and regional scales. While challenging for both East Africa and South Asia, the benefits of limiting warming to below 1.5 °C in terms of global drought risk and impact reduction are significant.
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