Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-151-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-151-2016
Research article
 | 
23 Feb 2016
Research article |  | 23 Feb 2016

Potential impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on future agricultural land use in West Africa

Kazi Farzan Ahmed, Guiling Wang, Liangzhi You, and Miao Yu

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Cited articles

Ackerman, F., DeCanio, S. J., Howarth, R. B., and Sheeran, K.: Limitations of integrated assessment models of climate change, Climatic Change, 95, 297–315, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9570-x, 2009.
Agarwal, C., Green, G. M., Grove, J. M., Evans, T. P., and Schweik, C. M.: A Review and Assessment of Land-Use Change Models: Dynamics of Space, Time, and Human Choice, GTR NE-297, USDA, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Newton Square, PA, p. 61, 2002.
Ahmed, K. F., Wang, G., Silander, J., Wilson, A. M., Allen, J. M., Horton, R., and Anyah, R.: Statistical downscaling and bias correction of climate model outputs for climate change impact assessment in the US northeast, Global Planet. Change, 100, 320–332, 2013.
Ahmed, K. F., Wang, G., Yu, M., Koo, J., and You, L.: Potential impact of climate change on cereal crop yield in West Africa, Climatic Change, 133, 321–334, 2015.
Burney, J. A., Davis, S. J., and Lobell, D. B.: Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification, P. Natl. Acad. Sci., 107, 12052–12057, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0914216107, 2010.
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Short summary
A prototype model LandPro was developed to study climate change impact on land use in West Africa. LandPro considers climate and socioeconomic factors in projecting anthropogenic future land use change (LULCC). The model projections reflect that relative impact of climate change on LULCC in West Africa is region dependent. Results from scenario analysis suggest that science-informed decision-making by the farmers in agricultural land use can potentially reduce crop area expansion in the region.
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