Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models

Giuntoli, I.; Vidal, J.-P.; Prudhomme, C.; Hannah, D. M.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015

Articles | Volume 6, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP)

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 6, issue 1

Research article

|

18 May 2015

Research article |

| 18 May 2015

Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models

I. Giuntoli, J.-P. Vidal, C. Prudhomme, and D. M. Hannah

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Final revised paper (published on 18 May 2015)
Preprint (discussion started on 06 Jan 2015)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C1: 'Review of the manuscript: Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological model by Giuntoli et al. 2015', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Jan 2015
- AC C17: 'AC to Referee #1 comment C1: Review of the Manuscript', Ignazio Giuntoli, 04 Feb 2015
- AC C29: 'Errata Corrige - Amended Specific Remarks Section', Ignazio Giuntoli, 05 Feb 2015
RC C78: 'Review of "Future hydrological extremes..." by Giuntoli et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Mar 2015
- AC C102: 'AC to Referee #2: Review of the Manuscript', Ignazio Giuntoli, 14 Mar 2015
RC C80: '“Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models” by I. Giuntoli et al.', Antonio Speranza, 02 Mar 2015
- AC C108: 'AC to Referee #3: Review of the Manuscript', Ignazio Giuntoli, 14 Mar 2015
RC C89: 'uture hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models', Anonymous Referee #4, 03 Mar 2015
- AC C113: 'AC to Referee #4: Review of the Manuscript', Ignazio Giuntoli, 16 Mar 2015

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Ignazio Giuntoli on behalf of the Authors (11 Apr 2015) Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (25 Apr 2015) by Ryan Pavlick

AR by Ignazio Giuntoli on behalf of the Authors (27 Apr 2015) Manuscript

Short summary

We assessed future changes in high and low flows globally using runoff projections from global hydrological models (GHMs) driven by global climate models (GCMs) under the RCP8.5 scenario. Further, we quantified the relative size of uncertainty from GHMs and from GCMs using ANOVA. We show that GCMs are the major contributors to uncertainty overall, but GHMs increase their contribution for low flows and can equal or outweigh GCM uncertainty in snow-dominated areas for both high and low flows.