doi:https://doi.org/

Editor(s): W. Lucht, M. Floerke, R. Pavlick, and D. Lapola

ISI-MIP is a community-driven modelling effort with the goal of providing cross-sectoral global impact assessments, based on the newly developed climate (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)) and socio-economic (Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP)) scenarios.

Based on common background scenarios (climate and socio-economic), a quantitative estimate of impacts and uncertainties for different sectors and from multiple impact models will be derived. From this, policy-relevant and society-focused metrics will be deducted.

This initiative, coordinated by a team at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research with support from IIASA and backing from the IPCC Working Groups II and III, aims to provide fast-track outcomes for the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Further, it hopes to initiate a longer-term coordinated impact assessment effort driven by the entire impact community.

This ESD special issue is intended to cover research performed within the context of ISI-MIP. Contributing manuscripts may cover modelling studies which use the common ISI-MIP background scenarios to improve our understanding of the impacts and uncertainties associated with projected global change.

20 Jul 2015

Propagation of biases in humidity in the estimation of global irrigation water

Y. Masaki, N. Hanasaki, K. Takahashi, and Y. Hijioka

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 461–484, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-461-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-461-2015, 2015

16 Jul 2015

A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties

K. Frieler, A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M. F. P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Döll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A. D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A. C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen, and H. J. Schellnhuber

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 447–460, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015, 2015

13 Jul 2015

Decomposing uncertainties in the future terrestrial carbon budget associated with emission scenarios, climate projections, and ecosystem simulations using the ISI-MIP results

K. Nishina, A. Ito, P. Falloon, A. D. Friend, D. J. Beerling, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, R. Kahana, E. Kato, W. Lucht, M. Lomas, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, L. Warszawaski, and T. Yokohata

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 435–445, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015, 2015

Short summary

18 May 2015

Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models

I. Giuntoli, J.-P. Vidal, C. Prudhomme, and D. M. Hannah

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 267–285, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015, 2015

Short summary

10 Feb 2015

A multi-model analysis of change in potential yield of major crops in China under climate change

Y. Yin, Q. Tang, and X. Liu

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 45–59, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-45-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-45-2015, 2015

22 Jan 2015

Multi-model climate impact assessment and intercomparison for three large-scale river basins on three continents

T. Vetter, S. Huang, V. Aich, T. Yang, X. Wang, V. Krysanova, and F. Hattermann

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 17–43, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-17-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-17-2015, 2015

06 Jan 2015

Global hydrological droughts in the 21st century under a changing hydrological regime

N. Wanders, Y. Wada, and H. A. J. Van Lanen

Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-1-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-1-2015, 2015

Short summary

13 Nov 2014

Climate impact research: beyond patchwork

V. Huber, H. J. Schellnhuber, N. W. Arnell, K. Frieler, A. D. Friend, D. Gerten, I. Haddeland, P. Kabat, H. Lotze-Campen, W. Lucht, M. Parry, F. Piontek, C. Rosenzweig, J. Schewe, and L. Warszawski

Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 399–408, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014, 2014

22 Oct 2014

Climate impacts on human livelihoods: where uncertainty matters in projections of water availability

T. K. Lissner, D. E. Reusser, J. Schewe, T. Lakes, and J. P. Kropp

Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 355–373, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014, 2014

Short summary

02 Apr 2014

Quantifying uncertainties in soil carbon responses to changes in global mean temperature and precipitation

K. Nishina, A. Ito, D. J. Beerling, P. Cadule, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, P. Falloon, A. D. Friend, R. Kahana, E. Kato, R. Keribin, W. Lucht, M. Lomas, T. T. Rademacher, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, N. Vuichard, L. Warszawaski, and T. Yokohata

Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 197–209, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-197-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-197-2014, 2014

10 Oct 2013

Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP

J. C. S. Davie, P. D. Falloon, R. Kahana, R. Dankers, R. Betts, F. T. Portmann, D. Wisser, D. B. Clark, A. Ito, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, B. Fekete, Z. Tessler, Y. Wada, X. Liu, Q. Tang, S. Hagemann, T. Stacke, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, S. N. Gosling, W. Franssen, and N. Arnell

Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 359–374, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013, 2013

31 Jul 2013

A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach

S. Hempel, K. Frieler, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, and F. Piontek

Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 219–236, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-219-2013,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-219-2013, 2013