Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP)
Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP)
Editor(s): W. Lucht, M. Floerke, R. Pavlick, and D. Lapola

ISI-MIP is a community-driven modelling effort with the goal of providing cross-sectoral global impact assessments, based on the newly developed climate (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)) and socio-economic (Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP)) scenarios.

Based on common background scenarios (climate and socio-economic), a quantitative estimate of impacts and uncertainties for different sectors and from multiple impact models will be derived. From this, policy-relevant and society-focused metrics will be deducted.

This initiative, coordinated by a team at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research with support from IIASA and backing from the IPCC Working Groups II and III, aims to provide fast-track outcomes for the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Further, it hopes to initiate a longer-term coordinated impact assessment effort driven by the entire impact community.

This ESD special issue is intended to cover research performed within the context of ISI-MIP. Contributing manuscripts may cover modelling studies which use the common ISI-MIP background scenarios to improve our understanding of the impacts and uncertainties associated with projected global change.

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20 Jul 2015
Propagation of biases in humidity in the estimation of global irrigation water
Y. Masaki, N. Hanasaki, K. Takahashi, and Y. Hijioka
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 461–484, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-461-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-461-2015, 2015
16 Jul 2015
A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties
K. Frieler, A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M. F. P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Döll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A. D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A. C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen, and H. J. Schellnhuber
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 447–460, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015, 2015
13 Jul 2015
| Highlight paper
Decomposing uncertainties in the future terrestrial carbon budget associated with emission scenarios, climate projections, and ecosystem simulations using the ISI-MIP results
K. Nishina, A. Ito, P. Falloon, A. D. Friend, D. J. Beerling, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, R. Kahana, E. Kato, W. Lucht, M. Lomas, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, L. Warszawaski, and T. Yokohata
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 435–445, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015, 2015
Short summary
18 May 2015
Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models
I. Giuntoli, J.-P. Vidal, C. Prudhomme, and D. M. Hannah
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 267–285, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-267-2015, 2015
Short summary
10 Feb 2015
A multi-model analysis of change in potential yield of major crops in China under climate change
Y. Yin, Q. Tang, and X. Liu
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 45–59, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-45-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-45-2015, 2015
22 Jan 2015
Multi-model climate impact assessment and intercomparison for three large-scale river basins on three continents
T. Vetter, S. Huang, V. Aich, T. Yang, X. Wang, V. Krysanova, and F. Hattermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 17–43, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-17-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-17-2015, 2015
06 Jan 2015
Global hydrological droughts in the 21st century under a changing hydrological regime
N. Wanders, Y. Wada, and H. A. J. Van Lanen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-1-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-1-2015, 2015
Short summary
13 Nov 2014
Climate impact research: beyond patchwork
V. Huber, H. J. Schellnhuber, N. W. Arnell, K. Frieler, A. D. Friend, D. Gerten, I. Haddeland, P. Kabat, H. Lotze-Campen, W. Lucht, M. Parry, F. Piontek, C. Rosenzweig, J. Schewe, and L. Warszawski
Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 399–408, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-399-2014, 2014
22 Oct 2014
Climate impacts on human livelihoods: where uncertainty matters in projections of water availability
T. K. Lissner, D. E. Reusser, J. Schewe, T. Lakes, and J. P. Kropp
Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 355–373, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-355-2014, 2014
Short summary
02 Apr 2014
Quantifying uncertainties in soil carbon responses to changes in global mean temperature and precipitation
K. Nishina, A. Ito, D. J. Beerling, P. Cadule, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, P. Falloon, A. D. Friend, R. Kahana, E. Kato, R. Keribin, W. Lucht, M. Lomas, T. T. Rademacher, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, N. Vuichard, L. Warszawaski, and T. Yokohata
Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 197–209, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-197-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-197-2014, 2014
10 Oct 2013
Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP
J. C. S. Davie, P. D. Falloon, R. Kahana, R. Dankers, R. Betts, F. T. Portmann, D. Wisser, D. B. Clark, A. Ito, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, B. Fekete, Z. Tessler, Y. Wada, X. Liu, Q. Tang, S. Hagemann, T. Stacke, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, S. N. Gosling, W. Franssen, and N. Arnell
Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 359–374, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-359-2013, 2013
31 Jul 2013
A trend-preserving bias correction – the ISI-MIP approach
S. Hempel, K. Frieler, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, and F. Piontek
Earth Syst. Dynam., 4, 219–236, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-219-2013,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-219-2013, 2013
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