Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 17, issue 5
Articles | Volume 17, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1435-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 17, issue 5
Research article
 | 
02 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 02 Oct 2026

Decadal predictions of wind, solar and compound power indicators to support the European renewable energy sector

Sara Moreno-Montes, Carlos Delgado-Torres, Matías Olmo, Sushovan Ghosh, Verónica Torralba, and Albert Soret

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Short summary
Wind and solar power depend on weather conditions that can vary over the next few years. This study assesses whether climate forecasts for the next three years can help anticipate renewable energy production across Europe. Solar energy is generally more predictable than wind, with skill varying by season and region. We also assess compound energy droughts, when low wind and solar resources occur simultaneously, showing where near-term climate information can support energy planning.
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