Global hyper-resolution modeling of historical and future groundwater dynamics

van Jaarsveld, Barry; Wanders, Niko; Otoo, Nicole Gyakowah; Sutanudjaja, Edwin H.; Verkaik, Jarno; Zamrsky, Daniel; Bierkens, Marc F. P.

doi:10.5194/esd-17-1201-2026

Articles | Volume 17, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1201-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-1201-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 17, issue 5

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

07 Sep 2026

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 07 Sep 2026

Global hyper-resolution modeling of historical and future groundwater dynamics

Barry van Jaarsveld, Niko Wanders, Nicole Gyakowah Otoo, Edwin H. Sutanudjaja, Jarno Verkaik, Daniel Zamrsky, and Marc F. P. Bierkens

Data sets

GLOBGM_CMIP6: A Global Hyper-Resolution Groundwater Dataset for Assessing Historical and Future Groundwater Dynamics Under Climate and Socioeconomic Change - [globgm_historical_reference_gswp3-w5e5] B. van Jaarsveld https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-AKSHOX

GLOBGM_CMIP6: a global hyper-resolution groundwater dataset for assessing historical and future groundwater dynamics under climate and socioeconomic change - [ssp_rcp_monthly] B. van Jaarsveld https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-1BXLPD

GLOBGM_CMIP6: a global hyper-resolution groundwater dataset for assessing historical and future groundwater dynamics under climate and socioeconomic change - [ssp_rcp_annual] B. van Jaarsveld https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-V6B9YS

GLOBGM_CMIP6: A Global Hyper-Resolution Groundwater Dataset for Assessing Historical and Future Groundwater Dynamics Under Climate and Socioeconomic Change - [ssp_rcp_average] B. van Jaarsveld https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-SLRFI7

GLOBGM_CMIP6: a global hyper-resolution groundwater dataset for assessing historical and future groundwater dynamics under climate and socioeconomic change -- [quality_assurance] B. van Jaarsveld https://doi.org/10.24416/UU01-16EJ3Y

Model code and software

GLOBGM_CMIP6: Software and Code B. van Jaarsveld et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17065147

Editorial statement

Groundwater depletion is among the most pressing global environmental challenges today, with a recent UN report warning of an "era of global water bankruptcy.” This study sheds light on how groundwater resources are likely to evolve through to 2100 under different climate and socioeconomic scenarios at hyper‑resolution (~1 km). All model simulations are openly accessible to support research and decision‑making in regions where observational data are limited.