Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-589-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-589-2024
Research article
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03 May 2024
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 03 May 2024

Applying global warming levels of emergence to highlight the increasing population exposure to temperature and precipitation extremes

David Gampe, Clemens Schwingshackl, Andrea Böhnisch, Magdalena Mittermeier, Marit Sandstad, and Raul R. Wood

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2126', Anonymous Referee #1, 12 Nov 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', David Gampe, 16 Nov 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2126', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Nov 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', David Gampe, 07 Dec 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2126', Anonymous Referee #3, 30 Nov 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', David Gampe, 07 Dec 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (24 Dec 2023) by Anping Chen
AR by David Gampe on behalf of the Authors (18 Feb 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Feb 2024) by Anping Chen
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (28 Feb 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (03 Mar 2024)
ED: Publish as is (05 Mar 2024) by Anping Chen
AR by David Gampe on behalf of the Authors (22 Mar 2024)  Manuscript 
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Chief editor
This study finds that >85% of the global population is exposed to warming nighttime temperatures robustly beyond natural variability, at a Global Warming Level of 1.5°C. This increases to >95% at 2.0°C. Daily maximum temperature follows a comparable trend. Thus, every small additional warming substantially increases human exposure to potentially detrimental climate conditions.
Short summary
Using a special suite of climate simulations, we determine if and when climate change is detectable and translate this to the global warming prevalent in the corresponding year. Our results show that, at 1.5°C warming, >85 % of the global population (>95 % at 2.0° warming) is already exposed to nighttime temperatures altered by climate change beyond natural variability. Furthermore, even incremental changes in global warming levels result in increased human exposure to emerged climate signals.
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