Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1255-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake
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- Final revised paper (published on 27 Sep 2024)
- Preprint (discussion started on 22 Dec 2023)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on esd-2023-40', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Jan 2024
- EC1: 'Reply on RC1', Zhenghui Xie, 20 Feb 2024
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Raffaele Bernardello, 28 Mar 2024
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RC2: 'Comment on esd-2023-40', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Feb 2024
- EC2: 'Reply on RC2', Zhenghui Xie, 20 Feb 2024
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Raffaele Bernardello, 28 Mar 2024
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (29 Mar 2024) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Raffaele Bernardello on behalf of the Authors (15 Aug 2024)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (16 Aug 2024) by Zhenghui Xie
AR by Raffaele Bernardello on behalf of the Authors (17 Aug 2024)
The manuscript “Ocean biogeochemical reconstructions to estimate historical ocean CO2 uptake” by Bernardello et al is a very useful comparison of different methods of estimating ocean carbon uptake from ocean-only models forced by reanalysis versus also including 3D temperature and salinity data assimilation with direct relevance to the current gap between ocean inverse estimates and “OBGC” or “OMIP” estimates used by the Global Carbon Project. My major criticism is that the authors include only analysis of AMOC and MLD changes and ignore impacts on the thermocline structure, pCO2, and anthropogenic CO2 (GLODAP) observational constraints and impact on ideal age and transient tracers. It is not enough to casually correlate the AMOC increase to the anthropogenic CO2 increase in the data assimilation: the authors should at least look at the pattern differences in CO2 uptake between the various model runs to see where the extra CO2 is accumulating. Below I provide specific places where I think such a quick analysis would substantively improve the manuscript.
19-20 - In the sentence “This becomes particularly important in the context of a future decline of global CO2 emissions and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change stocktaking activities” it is not clear why “a future decline of global CO2 emissions” makes carbon uptake more important than under scenarios of future increase. The authors may be intending to call out the 2015 Paris Agreement that seeks climate stability/sustainability and net zero emissions at particular temperature thresholds, but the connection should be explicit.
139 – remove “we”
209-210 – To answer the question “it is hard to pinpoint a single cause for the improvements we see in biogeochemical variables when we apply data assimilation of temperature and salinity.” The classical means of doing so is to look at changes to ideal age and transient tracers like CFC’s and SF6. My expectation is that the OMIP version of the model is overly stratified and that the thermocline/warm water sphere is deeper in the assimilation case. While the assimilation increasing AMOC certainly goes in the right direct, I expect it is the enhancement of the shallow gyre circulation of AMOC (rather than the deeper, thermohaline aspect) that is driving the improvement as it applies to all the gyres, not just the North Atlantic. It should be easy to see where the changes in DIC accumulate – whether it is just in the Atlantic below 1000 m (in support of the thermohaline mechanism), or throughout the ocean above 1000 m (in support of the general thermocline ventilation mechanism). These two comparisons should be very easy for the authors to conduct.
228 – furthering the need to look at the patterns of DIC inventory increase above, more detail on the “ameliorated density profile” is necessary here. For example, it would be helpful if the MLD analysis indicated the direction of the improvement – i.e. it looks like the biases being ameliorated were a deep bias in the northern gyre extension regions and a shallow bias in the Southern Ocean… suggesting that it may be increased ventilation in the Southern Ocean that is the most important. Looking at MLD is certainly a big part of the story, but the relation with the overall ventilated thermocline depth is more relevant to net anthropogenic CO2 uptake.
235 – I don’t find the degradation in nutrients and chlorophyll surprising at all as this was the foundational problem in the Park et al., 2018 study the authors cite for their decision to reduce nudging near the equator and is consistent with what I suspect is increasing ventilation under data assimilation increasing surface nutrients and chlorophyll from a baseline configuration in which the BGC parameterizations for phytoplankton physiology and nitrogen and iron limitation were tuned to match observations of high nutrient/low chlorophyll patterns.
255 - I disagree with the assertion that “their direct validation is not straightforward” as it seems very straightforward to compare against the surface ocean pCO2 product of Landschützer et al (2017):
Landschützer, P., Gruber, N., & Bakker, D. (2017). An updated observation-based global monthly gridded sea surface pCO2 and air-sea CO2 flux product from 1982 through 2015 and its monthly climatology (NCEI Accession 0160558), edited, NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.
And anthropogenic CO2 inventories of GLOPAPv2:
Lauvset, S. K., Lange, N., Tanhua, T., Bittig, H. C., Olsen, A., Kozyr, A., ... & Key, R. M. (2022). GLODAPv2. 2022: the latest version of the global interior ocean biogeochemical data product. Earth System Science Data Discussions, 2022, 1-37.