Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024
ESD Letters
 | Highlight paper
 | 
06 Aug 2024
ESD Letters | Highlight paper |  | 06 Aug 2024

Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming

Mikhail Y. Verbitsky, Michael E. Mann, and Dmitry Volobuev

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #1, 15 Apr 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Verbitsky, 23 Apr 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Apr 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2 by Mikhail Verbitsky and Michael E. Mann', Mikhail Verbitsky, 18 Apr 2024
  • RC3: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #3, 18 Apr 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Mikhail Verbitsky, 23 Apr 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (19 May 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
AR by Mikhail Verbitsky on behalf of the Authors (19 May 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 May 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Jun 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (10 Jun 2024)
ED: Publish as is (12 Jun 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
ED: Publish as is (17 Jun 2024) by Gabriele Messori (Chief editor)
AR by Mikhail Verbitsky on behalf of the Authors (17 Jun 2024)  Manuscript 
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Chief editor
The authors apply the statistical method of conditional dispersion, which evaluates the existence of causal connections between variables, to study relations between seismic activity and global warming. This is a very actual and debated topic in the geosciences community. In this work, the authors find no causality between seismic activity and global warming.
Short summary
It was recently suggested that global warming can be explained by the non-anthropogenic factor of seismic activity. If that is the case, it would have profound implications. We have assessed the validity of the claim by using a statistical technique that evaluates the existence of causal connections between variables, finding no evidence for any causal relationship between seismic activity and global warming.
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