Articles | Volume 15, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1015-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Absence of causality between seismic activity and global warming
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- Final revised paper (published on 06 Aug 2024)
- Preprint (discussion started on 04 Mar 2024)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #1, 15 Apr 2024
- AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Verbitsky, 23 Apr 2024
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RC2: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Apr 2024
- AC1: 'Reply on RC2 by Mikhail Verbitsky and Michael E. Mann', Mikhail Verbitsky, 18 Apr 2024
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RC3: 'Comment on esd-2024-10', Anonymous Referee #3, 18 Apr 2024
- AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Mikhail Verbitsky, 23 Apr 2024
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (19 May 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
AR by Mikhail Verbitsky on behalf of the Authors (19 May 2024)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 May 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Jun 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (10 Jun 2024)
ED: Publish as is (12 Jun 2024) by Ira Didenkulova
ED: Publish as is (17 Jun 2024) by Gabriele Messori (Chief editor)
AR by Mikhail Verbitsky on behalf of the Authors (17 Jun 2024)
Manuscript
The papers aims at showing the non-existence of correlation between seismic activity and climate variability.
The paper is very short, simple and easy to read.
I have a few comments about this paper that should be addressed in a revised version.
The authors use an unconventional tool (to my knowledge this is used only for climate researches) to check the correlation between seismicity and climate.
I am wondering why do not use more classical statistical tools that have a solid theoretical mathematical basis. In essence, the authors should justify better their choice.
As an additional comment, the authors use the count of earthquakes above M7. This is hardly justifiable, because a M8 releases 32 times the energy of a M7, and a M9 releases about 1000 times more energy than a M7. So, close M7 events do not have the same energy than a single M8 or larger.
In essence, I do not think that the number of M7+ is a good proxy to measure the seismicity index. Maybe considering the seismic energy could be more appropriate. Even better, the seismicity index could be quantified by the ground shaking at polar regions (or any other region of interest) produced by any single earthquake of the catalog used. This is feasible, but it would likely require an additional work made by a seismologist.
Related to the previous point, if the interest is on the polar region, the seismicity index should be weighted according to the location of earthquakes, since earthquakes close to polar regions may produce stronger shaking in these regions, with respect to larger earthquakes that occur on equatorial regions. This is made simulating the ground shaking of each earthquake (seismic waves decreases with distance from the hypocenter), or, in cae the authors use the energy released by each single earthquake, weighting the distance of earthquakes to polar regions with an appropriate spatial decay (roughly speaking, the surface waves decay with 1/r only due to the geometrical spreading).