Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 14, issue 3
Articles | Volume 14, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-549-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14, issue 3
Research article
 | 
05 May 2023
Research article |  | 05 May 2023

Opening Pandora's box: reducing global circulation model uncertainty in Australian simulations of the carbon cycle

Lina Teckentrup, Martin G. De Kauwe, Gab Abramowitz, Andrew J. Pitman, Anna M. Ukkola, Sanaa Hobeichi, Bastien François, and Benjamin Smith

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Short summary
Studies analyzing the impact of the future climate on ecosystems employ climate projections simulated by global circulation models. These climate projections display biases that translate into significant uncertainty in projections of the future carbon cycle. Here, we test different methods to constrain the uncertainty in simulations of the carbon cycle over Australia. We find that all methods reduce the bias in the steady-state carbon variables but that temporal properties do not improve.
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