Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-457-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
Research article
 | 
21 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 21 Apr 2023

Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe

Tamzin E. Palmer, Carol F. McSweeney, Ben B. B. Booth, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Paolo Davini, Lukas Brunner, Leonard Borchert, and Matthew B. Menary

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Latest update: 19 Apr 2024
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Short summary
We carry out an assessment of an ensemble of general climate models (CMIP6) based on the ability of the models to represent the key physical processes that are important for representing European climate. Filtering the models with the assessment leads to more models with less global warming being removed, and this shifts the lower part of the projected temperature range towards greater warming. This is in contrast to the affect of weighting the ensemble using global temperature trends.
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