Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1611-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1611-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
Research article
 | 
17 Nov 2022
Research article |  | 17 Nov 2022

El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates

Yiyu Zheng, Maria Rugenstein, Patrick Pieper, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, and Johanna Baehr

Viewed

Total article views: 2,179 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,744 364 71 2,179 45 43
  • HTML: 1,744
  • PDF: 364
  • XML: 71
  • Total: 2,179
  • BibTeX: 45
  • EndNote: 43
Views and downloads (calculated since 28 Mar 2022)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 28 Mar 2022)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,179 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,099 with geography defined and 80 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 18 Sep 2024
Download
Short summary
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the dominant climatic phenomena in the equatorial Pacific. Understanding and predicting how ENSO might change in a warmer climate is both societally and scientifically important. We use 1000-year-long simulations from seven climate models to analyze ENSO in an idealized stable climate. We show that ENSO will be weaker and last shorter under the warming, while the skill of ENSO prediction will unlikely change.
Read more
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint