Articles | Volume 13, issue 4
Research article
17 Nov 2022
Research article |  | 17 Nov 2022

El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability in equilibrated warmer climates

Yiyu Zheng, Maria Rugenstein, Patrick Pieper, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, and Johanna Baehr


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-89', Anonymous Referee #1, 31 May 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Yiyu Zheng, 25 Aug 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-89', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Aug 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Yiyu Zheng, 25 Aug 2022
  • AC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-89', Yiyu Zheng, 25 Aug 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (29 Aug 2022) by Anders Levermann
AR by Yiyu Zheng on behalf of the Authors (02 Sep 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Sep 2022) by Anders Levermann
ED: Publish as is (24 Oct 2022) by Anders Levermann
AR by Yiyu Zheng on behalf of the Authors (27 Oct 2022)  Manuscript 
Short summary
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the dominant climatic phenomena in the equatorial Pacific. Understanding and predicting how ENSO might change in a warmer climate is both societally and scientifically important. We use 1000-year-long simulations from seven climate models to analyze ENSO in an idealized stable climate. We show that ENSO will be weaker and last shorter under the warming, while the skill of ENSO prediction will unlikely change.
Final-revised paper