Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-819-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-819-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Research article
 | 
28 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 28 Jul 2021

Abrupt climate change as a rate-dependent cascading tipping point

Johannes Lohmann, Daniele Castellana, Peter D. Ditlevsen, and Henk A. Dijkstra

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Short summary
Tipping of one climate subsystem could trigger a cascade of subsequent tipping points and even global-scale climate tipping. Sequential shifts of atmosphere, sea ice and ocean have been recorded in proxy archives of past climate change. Based on this we propose a conceptual model for abrupt climate changes of the last glacial. Here, rate-induced tipping enables tipping cascades in systems with relatively weak coupling. An early warning signal is proposed that may detect such a tipping.
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