Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
Research article
28 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 28 Jul 2021

Abrupt climate change as a rate-dependent cascading tipping point

Johannes Lohmann, Daniele Castellana, Peter D. Ditlevsen, and Henk A. Dijkstra

Data sets

johannes-lohmann/cascading: cascadingv1.0 (Version v1.0) J. Lohmann

Short summary
Tipping of one climate subsystem could trigger a cascade of subsequent tipping points and even global-scale climate tipping. Sequential shifts of atmosphere, sea ice and ocean have been recorded in proxy archives of past climate change. Based on this we propose a conceptual model for abrupt climate changes of the last glacial. Here, rate-induced tipping enables tipping cascades in systems with relatively weak coupling. An early warning signal is proposed that may detect such a tipping.
Final-revised paper