Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-751-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-751-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
ESD Ideas
 | Highlight paper
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19 Aug 2020
ESD Ideas | Highlight paper |  | 19 Aug 2020

ESD Ideas: Global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments

Rowan T. Sutton and Ed Hawkins

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Latest update: 24 Oct 2025
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Short summary
Policy making on climate change routinely employs socioeconomic scenarios to sample the uncertainty in future forcing of the climate system, but the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has not employed similar discrete scenarios to sample the uncertainty in the global climate response. Here, we argue that to enable risk assessments and development of robust policies this gap should be addressed, and we propose a simple methodology.
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