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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 709–719, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-709-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 709–719, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-709-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 03 Aug 2020

Research article | 03 Aug 2020

What could we learn about climate sensitivity from variability in the surface temperature record?

James D. Annan et al.

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Status: closed
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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 May 2020) by Steven Smith
AR by James Annan on behalf of the Authors (06 Jun 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (01 Jul 2020) by Steven Smith
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
In this paper we explore the potential of variability for constraining the equilibrium response of the climate system to external forcing. We show that the constraint is inherently skewed, with a long tail to high sensitivity, and that while the variability may contain some useful information, it is unlikely to generate a tight constraint.
In this paper we explore the potential of variability for constraining the equilibrium response...
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