Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-139-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-139-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
Research article
 | 
17 Feb 2020
Research article |  | 17 Feb 2020

Emulating Earth system model temperatures with MESMER: from global mean temperature trajectories to grid-point-level realizations on land

Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia I. Seneviratne

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Short summary
Earth system models (ESMs) are invaluable to study the climate system but expensive to run. Here, we present a statistical tool which emulates ESMs at a negligible computational cost by creating stochastic realizations of yearly land temperature field time series. Thereby, 40 ESMs are considered, and for each ESM, a single simulation is required to train the tool. The resulting ESM-specific realizations closely resemble ESM simulations not employed during training at point to regional scales.
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