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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 901–917, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 901–917, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 17 Dec 2019

Research article | 17 Dec 2019

Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the North Atlantic extratropical winter circulation through increased model resolution

Mareike Schuster et al.

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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (14 Jul 2019) by Gerrit Lohmann
AR by Mareike Schuster on behalf of the Authors (25 Aug 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Aug 2019) by Gerrit Lohmann
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (13 Sep 2019)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (03 Oct 2019)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (12 Oct 2019) by Gerrit Lohmann
AR by Mareike Schuster on behalf of the Authors (22 Oct 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (23 Oct 2019) by Gerrit Lohmann
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
Decadal climate predictions are valuable to society as they allow us to estimate climate conditions several years in advance. We analyze the latest version of the German MiKlip prediction system (https://www.fona-miklip.de) and assess the effect of the model resolution on the skill of the system. The increase in the resolution of the system reduces the bias and significantly improves the forecast skill for North Atlantic extratropical winter dynamics for lead times of two to five winters.
Decadal climate predictions are valuable to society as they allow us to estimate climate...
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