Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-901-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
Research article
 | 
17 Dec 2019
Research article |  | 17 Dec 2019

Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the North Atlantic extratropical winter circulation through increased model resolution

Mareike Schuster, Jens Grieger, Andy Richling, Thomas Schartner, Sebastian Illing, Christopher Kadow, Wolfgang A. Müller, Holger Pohlmann, Stephan Pfahl, and Uwe Ulbrich

Viewed

Total article views: 3,994 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
2,834 1,052 108 3,994 213 144 168
  • HTML: 2,834
  • PDF: 1,052
  • XML: 108
  • Total: 3,994
  • Supplement: 213
  • BibTeX: 144
  • EndNote: 168
Views and downloads (calculated since 30 Apr 2019)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 30 Apr 2019)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 3,994 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 3,766 with geography defined and 228 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 24 Dec 2025
Download
Short summary
Decadal climate predictions are valuable to society as they allow us to estimate climate conditions several years in advance. We analyze the latest version of the German MiKlip prediction system (https://www.fona-miklip.de) and assess the effect of the model resolution on the skill of the system. The increase in the resolution of the system reduces the bias and significantly improves the forecast skill for North Atlantic extratropical winter dynamics for lead times of two to five winters.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint