Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-427-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-427-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 Apr 2018
Research article |
| 27 Apr 2018
| 27 Apr 2018
Projections of East Asian summer monsoon change at global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C
Jiawei Liu
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/ KLME/ILCEC, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
College of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
Haiming Xu
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/ KLME/ILCEC, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
College of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
Jiechun Deng
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/ KLME/ILCEC, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
College of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
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Cited
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Arid/humid patterns over Asia in response to national-committed emission reductions under the Paris agreement F. Wang & J. Zhang 10.1186/s40645-020-00325-3
- Intensification of the East Asian summer monsoon lifecycle based on observation and CMIP6 J. Park et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9b3f
- Global Heat Wave Hazard Considering Humidity Effects during the 21st Century X. Chen et al. 10.3390/ijerph16091513
- Future evolution of global land surface air temperature trend based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models W. Wu et al. 10.1002/joc.7668
- An Introduction to the Synthesis Community Integrated Model Version 2 (SYCIM2.0) and Its Simulation of the East Asian Summer Monsoon W. Liang et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-4178-7
- Dipole response of early‐summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming Y. Lei et al. 10.1002/joc.7879
- Projected Changes in the East Asian Hydrological Cycle for Different Levels of Future Global Warming A. Chevuturi et al. 10.3390/atmos13030405
- Equatorward shift of the boreal summer intertropical convergence zone in Maritime Continent and the impacts on surface black carbon concentration and public health T. Huang et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00593-6
- Hydrothermal and eco-environmental evolution on the southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau since the last deglaciation: evidence from terrestrial mollusk records Y. Jia et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108648
- Present-day and future projection of East Asian summer monsoon in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 simulations M. Sun et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0269267
- Differences of East Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Responses between Transient and Stabilization Simulations J. Liu et al. 10.3390/atmos14121763
- Global wheat planting suitability under the 1.5°C and 2°C warming targets X. Guo et al. 10.3389/fpls.2024.1410388
- Uncertainty of central China summer precipitation and related natural internal variability under global warming of 1 to 3°C Z. Li et al. 10.1002/joc.7217
- Future Changes in East Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and Precipitation Under 1.5 to 5 °C of Warming Z. Li et al. 10.1029/2019EF001276
- The Physical Mechanisms Behind the Change in the Precipitation Recycling Rate in the Mid- and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River W. Guo et al. 10.3389/fphy.2021.688801
- Recent frontiers of climate changes in East Asia at global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C Q. You et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00303-0
- Divergent Responses of Summer Precipitation in China to 1.5°C Global Warming in Transient and Stabilized Scenarios Z. Jiang et al. 10.1029/2020EF001832
- Future changes in rainy season characteristics over East China under continuous warming J. Piao et al. 10.1007/s10584-023-03598-x
- Climatic Effects of China Large-Scale Urbanization on East Asian Summer Monsoon under Different Phases of Pacific Decadal Oscillation Y. Liang & P. Xiao 10.3390/atmos10020090
- Global precipitation-related extremes at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming targets: Projection and uncertainty assessment based on the CESM-LWR experiment J. Ju et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105868
- Distinctive Evolutions of Eurasian Warming and Extreme Events Before and After Global Warming Would Stabilize at 1.5 °C J. Liu et al. 10.1029/2018EF001093
- Future changes in Indian summer monsoon characteristics under 1.5 and 2 °C specific warming levels P. Maharana et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05012-8
- Intensified hydroclimatic regime in Korean basins under 1.5 and 2°C global warming J. Kim et al. 10.1002/joc.6311
- The effect of regional warming on the East Asian summer monsoon K. Kim & B. Kim 10.1007/s00382-020-05169-7
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Arid/humid patterns over Asia in response to national-committed emission reductions under the Paris agreement F. Wang & J. Zhang 10.1186/s40645-020-00325-3
- Intensification of the East Asian summer monsoon lifecycle based on observation and CMIP6 J. Park et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9b3f
- Global Heat Wave Hazard Considering Humidity Effects during the 21st Century X. Chen et al. 10.3390/ijerph16091513
- Future evolution of global land surface air temperature trend based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models W. Wu et al. 10.1002/joc.7668
- An Introduction to the Synthesis Community Integrated Model Version 2 (SYCIM2.0) and Its Simulation of the East Asian Summer Monsoon W. Liang et al. 10.1007/s00376-024-4178-7
- Dipole response of early‐summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming Y. Lei et al. 10.1002/joc.7879
- Projected Changes in the East Asian Hydrological Cycle for Different Levels of Future Global Warming A. Chevuturi et al. 10.3390/atmos13030405
- Equatorward shift of the boreal summer intertropical convergence zone in Maritime Continent and the impacts on surface black carbon concentration and public health T. Huang et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00593-6
- Hydrothermal and eco-environmental evolution on the southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau since the last deglaciation: evidence from terrestrial mollusk records Y. Jia et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108648
- Present-day and future projection of East Asian summer monsoon in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 simulations M. Sun et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0269267
- Differences of East Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Responses between Transient and Stabilization Simulations J. Liu et al. 10.3390/atmos14121763
- Global wheat planting suitability under the 1.5°C and 2°C warming targets X. Guo et al. 10.3389/fpls.2024.1410388
- Uncertainty of central China summer precipitation and related natural internal variability under global warming of 1 to 3°C Z. Li et al. 10.1002/joc.7217
- Future Changes in East Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation and Precipitation Under 1.5 to 5 °C of Warming Z. Li et al. 10.1029/2019EF001276
- The Physical Mechanisms Behind the Change in the Precipitation Recycling Rate in the Mid- and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River W. Guo et al. 10.3389/fphy.2021.688801
- Recent frontiers of climate changes in East Asia at global warming of 1.5°C and 2°C Q. You et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00303-0
- Divergent Responses of Summer Precipitation in China to 1.5°C Global Warming in Transient and Stabilized Scenarios Z. Jiang et al. 10.1029/2020EF001832
- Future changes in rainy season characteristics over East China under continuous warming J. Piao et al. 10.1007/s10584-023-03598-x
- Climatic Effects of China Large-Scale Urbanization on East Asian Summer Monsoon under Different Phases of Pacific Decadal Oscillation Y. Liang & P. Xiao 10.3390/atmos10020090
- Global precipitation-related extremes at 1.5 °C and 2 °C of global warming targets: Projection and uncertainty assessment based on the CESM-LWR experiment J. Ju et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105868
- Distinctive Evolutions of Eurasian Warming and Extreme Events Before and After Global Warming Would Stabilize at 1.5 °C J. Liu et al. 10.1029/2018EF001093
- Future changes in Indian summer monsoon characteristics under 1.5 and 2 °C specific warming levels P. Maharana et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05012-8
- Intensified hydroclimatic regime in Korean basins under 1.5 and 2°C global warming J. Kim et al. 10.1002/joc.6311
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 28 Aug 2025
Short summary
A novel method based on
present–futurerelationship in observed climate and model-simulated future climate is applied to give more reliable projections of East Asian summer monsoon intensity and associated precipitation changes at 1.5 and 2 °C warming levels. Projected future changes suggest decreased precipitation over the Meiyu belt and increased precipitation over the high latitudes of East Asia and central China, together with a considerable weakening of EASM intensity.
A novel method based on
present–futurerelationship in observed climate and model-simulated...
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