Journal cover Journal topic
Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic

Journal metrics

Journal metrics

  • IF value: 3.866 IF 3.866
  • IF 5-year value: 4.135 IF 5-year
    4.135
  • CiteScore value: 7.0 CiteScore
    7.0
  • SNIP value: 1.182 SNIP 1.182
  • IPP value: 3.86 IPP 3.86
  • SJR value: 1.883 SJR 1.883
  • Scimago H <br class='hide-on-tablet hide-on-mobile'>index value: 33 Scimago H
    index 33
  • h5-index value: 30 h5-index 30
ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 427–439, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-427-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 427–439, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-427-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 27 Apr 2018

Research article | 27 Apr 2018

Projections of East Asian summer monsoon change at global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C

Jiawei Liu et al.

Data sets

An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design K. E. Taylor, R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00094.1

The Version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Precipitation Analysis (1979-Present) R. F. Adler, G. J. Huffman, A. Chang, R. Ferraro, P.-P. Xie, J. Janowiak, B. Rudolf, U. Schneider, S. Curtis, D. Bolvin, A. Gruber, A., J. Susskind, P. Arkin, and E. Nelkin https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1147:tvgpcp>2.0.co;2

Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century N. A. Rayner, D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670

The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system D. P. Dee, S. M. Uppala, A. J. Simmons, P. Berrisford, P. Poli, S. Kobayashi, U. Andrae, M. A. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, P. Bauer, P. Bechtold, A. C. M. Beljaars, L. van de Berg, J. Bidlot, N. Bormann, C. Delsol, R. Dragani, M. Fuentes, A. J. Geer, L. Haimberger, S. B. Healy, H. Hersbach, E. V. Hólm, L. Isaksen, P. Kållberg, M. Köhler, M. Matricardi, A. P. McNally, B. M. Monge-Sanz, J. J. Morcrette, B. K. Park, C. Peubey, P. de Rosnay, C. Tavolato, J. N. Thépaut, and F. Vitart https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.828

Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
A novel method based on present–future relationship in observed climate and model-simulated future climate is applied to give more reliable projections of East Asian summer monsoon intensity and associated precipitation changes at 1.5 and 2 °C warming levels. Projected future changes suggest decreased precipitation over the Meiyu belt and increased precipitation over the high latitudes of East Asia and central China, together with a considerable weakening of EASM intensity.
A novel method based on present–future relationship in observed climate and model-simulated...
Citation
Final-revised paper
Preprint