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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 153–165, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-153-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 153–165, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-153-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 21 Feb 2018

Research article | 21 Feb 2018

Reliability ensemble averaging of 21st century projections of terrestrial net primary productivity reduces global and regional uncertainties

Jean-François Exbrayat et al.

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish as is (16 Jan 2018) by Somnath Baidya Roy
AR by Jean-François Exbrayat on behalf of the Authors (16 Jan 2018)  Author's response
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
We use global observations of current terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP) to constrain the uncertainty in large ensemble 21st century projections of NPP under a "business as usual" scenario using a skill-based multi-model averaging technique. Our results show that this procedure helps greatly reduce the uncertainty in global projections of NPP. We also identify regions where uncertainties in models and observations remain too large to confidently conclude a sign of the change of NPP.
We use global observations of current terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP) to constrain...
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