Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-135-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-135-2018
Research article
 | 
21 Feb 2018
Research article |  | 21 Feb 2018

Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties

Nadja Herger, Gab Abramowitz, Reto Knutti, Oliver Angélil, Karsten Lehmann, and Benjamin M. Sanderson

Viewed

Total article views: 6,489 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
4,228 2,120 141 6,489 807 186 170
  • HTML: 4,228
  • PDF: 2,120
  • XML: 141
  • Total: 6,489
  • Supplement: 807
  • BibTeX: 186
  • EndNote: 170
Views and downloads (calculated since 03 Apr 2017)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 03 Apr 2017)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 6,489 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 6,221 with geography defined and 268 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Discussed (final revised paper)

Latest update: 25 Mar 2025
Download
Short summary
Users presented with large multi-model ensembles commonly use the equally weighted model mean as a best estimate, ignoring the issue of near replication of some climate models. We present an efficient and flexible tool that finds a subset of models with improved mean performance compared to the multi-model mean while at the same time maintaining the spread and addressing the problem of model interdependence. Out-of-sample skill and reliability are demonstrated using model-as-truth experiments.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint