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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 8, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 91–111, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 91–111, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 13 Feb 2017

Research article | 13 Feb 2017

Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions

Anita D. Bayer et al.

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We evaluate the effects of land-use and land-cover changes on carbon pools and fluxes using a dynamic global vegetation model. Different historical reconstructions yielded an uncertainty of ca. ±30 % in the mean annual land use emission over the last decades. Accounting for the parallel expansion and abandonment of croplands on a sub-grid level (tropical shifting cultivation) substantially increased the effect of land use on carbon stocks and fluxes compared to only accounting for net effects.
We evaluate the effects of land-use and land-cover changes on carbon pools and fluxes using a...
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