Articles | Volume 8, issue 1
Research article
13 Feb 2017
Research article |  | 13 Feb 2017

Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions

Anita D. Bayer, Mats Lindeskog, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Peter M. Anthoni, Richard Fuchs, and Almut Arneth

Data sets

HILDA v2.0 R. Fuchs, M. Herold, P. H. Verburg, J. G. P. W. Clevers, and J. Eberle

Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model ( B. Smith, D. Wårlind, A. Arneth, T. Hickler, P. Leadley, J. Siltberg, and S. Zaehle

Short summary
We evaluate the effects of land-use and land-cover changes on carbon pools and fluxes using a dynamic global vegetation model. Different historical reconstructions yielded an uncertainty of ca. ±30 % in the mean annual land use emission over the last decades. Accounting for the parallel expansion and abandonment of croplands on a sub-grid level (tropical shifting cultivation) substantially increased the effect of land use on carbon stocks and fluxes compared to only accounting for net effects.
Final-revised paper