Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions

Bayer, Anita D.; Lindeskog, Mats; Pugh, Thomas A. M.; Anthoni, Peter M.; Fuchs, Richard; Arneth, Almut

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017

Articles | Volume 8, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 8, issue 1

Research article

|

13 Feb 2017

Research article |

| 13 Feb 2017

Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions

Anita D. Bayer, Mats Lindeskog, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Peter M. Anthoni, Richard Fuchs, and Almut Arneth

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Final revised paper (published on 13 Feb 2017)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 21 Jun 2016)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of “Uncertainties in the land use flux resulting from land use change reconstructions and gross land transitions"', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Jul 2016
- AC3: 'Comment to Reviewer #1', Anita Bayer, 30 Nov 2016
RC2: 'Review for Bayer et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Sep 2016
- AC2: 'Comment to Reviewer #2', Anita Bayer, 30 Nov 2016
AC1: 'Supplement, Comment to Reviewer #1', Anita Bayer, 30 Nov 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by Editor) (08 Dec 2016) by Christian Reick

AR by Thomas Pugh on behalf of the Authors (08 Dec 2016) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (22 Dec 2016) by Christian Reick

AR by Thomas Pugh on behalf of the Authors (19 Jan 2017) Author's response Manuscript

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Short summary

We evaluate the effects of land-use and land-cover changes on carbon pools and fluxes using a dynamic global vegetation model. Different historical reconstructions yielded an uncertainty of ca. ±30 % in the mean annual land use emission over the last decades. Accounting for the parallel expansion and abandonment of croplands on a sub-grid level (tropical shifting cultivation) substantially increased the effect of land use on carbon stocks and fluxes compared to only accounting for net effects.