Articles | Volume 8, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-577-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-577-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Young people's burden: requirement of negative CO2 emissions
Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute, New York, NY 10115, USA
Makiko Sato
Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute, New York, NY 10115, USA
Pushker Kharecha
Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute, New York, NY 10115, USA
Karina von Schuckmann
Mercator Ocean, 10 Rue Hermes, 31520 Ramonville St Agne, France
David J. Beerling
Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, S10 2TN, UK
Junji Cao
Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry and Physics, SKLLQG, Institute of Earth Environment, Xi'an, 710061, China
Shaun Marcott
Department of Geoscience, 1215 W. Dayton St., Weeks Hall, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA
Valerie Masson-Delmotte
Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ) Université Paris Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Michael J. Prather
Earth System Science Department, University of California at Irvine, CA, USA
Eelco J. Rohling
Research School of Earth Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, 2601, Australia
Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK
Jeremy Shakun
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467, USA
Pete Smith
Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, 23 St Machar Drive, Aberdeen, AB24 3UU, UK
Andrew Lacis
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA
Gary Russell
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA
Reto Ruedy
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA
SciSpace LLC, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA
Data sets
Young people's burden: Data files J. Hansen, M. Sato, P. Kharecha, and K. von Schuckmann https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.823301
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Short summary
Global temperature now exceeds +1.25 °C relative to 1880–1920, similar to warmth of the Eemian period. Keeping warming less than 1.5 °C or CO2 below 350 ppm now requires extraction of CO2 from the air. If rapid phaseout of fossil fuel emissions begins soon, most extraction can be via improved agricultural and forestry practices. In contrast, continued high emissions places a burden on young people of massive technological CO2 extraction with large risks, high costs and uncertain feasibility.
Global temperature now exceeds +1.25 °C relative to 1880–1920, similar to warmth of the Eemian...
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