Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-183-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-183-2016
Research article
 | 
09 Mar 2016
Research article |  | 09 Mar 2016

Groundwater nitrate concentration evolution under climate change and agricultural adaptation scenarios: Prince Edward Island, Canada

Daniel Paradis, Harold Vigneault, René Lefebvre, Martine M. Savard, Jean-Marc Ballard, and Budong Qian

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Cited articles

Allen, D. M., Mackie, D. C., and Wei, M.: Groundwater and climate change: a sensitivity analysis for the Grand Forks aquifer, southern British Columbia, Canada, Hydrogeol. J., 12, 270–290, 2004.
Allen, D. M., Cannon, A. J., Toews, M. W., and Scibek, J.: Variability in simulated recharge using different GCMs, Water Resour. Res., 46, W00F03, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008932, 2010.
Arora, V. K., Scinocca, J. F., Boer, G. J., Christian, J. R., Denman, K. L., Flato, G. M., Kharin, V. V., Lee, W. G., and Merryfield, W. J.: Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L05805, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL046270, 2011.
Ballard, J.-M., Paradis, D., Lefebvre, R., and Savard, M. M.: Numerical modeling of the dynamics of multisource nitrate generation and transfer, PEI, Paper 210, GeoHalifax '09, 62th Canadian Geotechnical Conference and 10th Joint CGS/IAH Conference, 20–24 September 2009, Halifax, Canada, 1507–1514, 2009.
Beigi, E. and Tsai, F. T.-C.: Comparative study of climate-change scenarios on groundwater recharge, southwestern Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana, USA, Hydrogeol. J., 23, 789–806, 2015.
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Short summary
According to groundwater flow and mass transport simulations, nitrate concentration for year 2050 would increase mainly due to the attainment of equilibrium conditions of the aquifer system related to actual nitrogen loadings, and to the increase in nitrogen loadings due to changes in agricultural practices. Impact of climate change on the groundwater recharge would contribute only slightly to that increase.
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