Decomposing uncertainties in the future terrestrial carbon budget associated with emission scenarios, climate projections, and ecosystem simulations using the ISI-MIP results

Nishina, K.; Ito, A.; Falloon, P.; Friend, A. D.; Beerling, D. J.; Ciais, P.; Clark, D. B.; Kahana, R.; Kato, E.; Lucht, W.; Lomas, M.; Pavlick, R.; Schaphoff, S.; Warszawaski, L.; Yokohata, T.

doi:10.5194/esd-6-435-2015

Articles | Volume 6, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP)

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-435-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 6, issue 2

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

13 Jul 2015

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 13 Jul 2015

Decomposing uncertainties in the future terrestrial carbon budget associated with emission scenarios, climate projections, and ecosystem simulations using the ISI-MIP results

K. Nishina, A. Ito, P. Falloon, A. D. Friend, D. J. Beerling, P. Ciais, D. B. Clark, R. Kahana, E. Kato, W. Lucht, M. Lomas, R. Pavlick, S. Schaphoff, L. Warszawaski, and T. Yokohata

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Views and downloads (calculated since 10 Oct 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
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Dec 2014	17	21	0	38
Jan 2015	16	16	5	37
Feb 2015	20	16	0	36
Mar 2015	27	8	0	35
Apr 2015	23	12	1	36
May 2015	11	11	0	22
Jun 2015	21	20	1	42
Jul 2015	486	142	11	639
Aug 2015	73	62	1	136
Sep 2015	71	26	1	98
Oct 2015	66	35	5	106
Nov 2015	67	23	2	92
Dec 2015	36	27	2	65
Jan 2016	64	30	2	96
Feb 2016	51	21	0	72
Mar 2016	53	30	1	84
Apr 2016	34	10	0	44
May 2016	29	15	0	44
Jun 2016	17	4	1	22
Jul 2016	26	8	4	38
Aug 2016	20	11	0	31
Sep 2016	34	6	0	40
Oct 2016	35	13	0	48
Nov 2016	20	9	0	29
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Jan 2017	30	4	1	35
Feb 2017	30	6	2	38
Mar 2017	50	14	2	66
Apr 2017	65	19	7	91
May 2017	65	11	5	81
Jun 2017	56	9	0	65
Jul 2017	41	36	1	78
Aug 2017	15	11	0	26
Sep 2017	22	12	0	34
Oct 2017	22	7	0	29
Nov 2017	17	10	0	27
Dec 2017	26	12	1	39
Jan 2018	31	7	2	40
Feb 2018	34	6	4	44
Mar 2018	25	7	0	32
Apr 2018	17	8	2	27
May 2018	27	15	1	43
Jun 2018	27	18	0	45
Jul 2018	30	16	1	47
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Oct 2018	26	5	3	34
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May 2019	35	2	1	38
Jun 2019	38	9	0	47
Jul 2019	51	8	0	59
Aug 2019	56	8	1	65
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Nov 2019	52	5	0	57
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Jan 2020	121	8	0	129
Feb 2020	95	13	2	110
Mar 2020	120	6	5	131
Apr 2020	67	7	0	74
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Feb 2023	39	4	0	43
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Jun 2023	45	12	2	59
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Oct 2023	51	7	1	59
Nov 2023	24	1	3	28
Dec 2023	29	7	1	37
Jan 2024	66	18	11	95
Feb 2024	269	10	3	282
Mar 2024	31	11	1	43
Apr 2024	30	10	11	51
May 2024	36	17	4	57
Jun 2024	66	12	3	81
Jul 2024	37	13	5	55
Aug 2024	56	9	0	65
Sep 2024	20	10	1	31
Oct 2024	39	5	0	44
Nov 2024	26	10	1	37
Dec 2024	28	17	4	49
Jan 2025	54	17	2	73
Feb 2025	35	14	3	52
Mar 2025	32	11	0	43
Apr 2025	41	12	4	57
May 2025	41	7	0	48
Jun 2025	61	17	5	83
Jul 2025	42	15	2	59
Aug 2025	57	10	3	70
Sep 2025	64	16	2	82
Oct 2025	41	35	2	78
Nov 2025	15	15	0	30

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 10 Oct 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Oct 2014	100	59	2	161
Nov 2014	38	30	1	69
Dec 2014	17	21	0	38
Jan 2015	16	16	5	37
Feb 2015	20	16	0	36
Mar 2015	27	8	0	35
Apr 2015	23	12	1	36
May 2015	11	11	0	22
Jun 2015	21	20	1	42
Jul 2015	486	142	11	639
Aug 2015	73	62	1	136
Sep 2015	71	26	1	98
Oct 2015	66	35	5	106
Nov 2015	67	23	2	92
Dec 2015	36	27	2	65
Jan 2016	64	30	2	96
Feb 2016	51	21	0	72
Mar 2016	53	30	1	84
Apr 2016	34	10	0	44
May 2016	29	15	0	44
Jun 2016	17	4	1	22
Jul 2016	26	8	4	38
Aug 2016	20	11	0	31
Sep 2016	34	6	0	40
Oct 2016	35	13	0	48
Nov 2016	20	9	0	29
Dec 2016	14	6	3	23
Jan 2017	30	4	1	35
Feb 2017	30	6	2	38
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May 2017	65	11	5	81
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Jun 2021	61	11	0	72
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Aug 2022	57	13	1	71
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Oct 2022	68	13	3	84
Nov 2022	61	12	1	74
Dec 2022	54	6	0	60
Jan 2023	59	11	0	70
Feb 2023	39	4	0	43
Mar 2023	63	5	2	70
Apr 2023	45	5	1	51
May 2023	45	13	1	59
Jun 2023	45	12	2	59
Jul 2023	45	7	1	53
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Oct 2023	51	7	1	59
Nov 2023	24	1	3	28
Dec 2023	29	7	1	37
Jan 2024	66	18	11	95
Feb 2024	269	10	3	282
Mar 2024	31	11	1	43
Apr 2024	30	10	11	51
May 2024	36	17	4	57
Jun 2024	66	12	3	81
Jul 2024	37	13	5	55
Aug 2024	56	9	0	65
Sep 2024	20	10	1	31
Oct 2024	39	5	0	44
Nov 2024	26	10	1	37
Dec 2024	28	17	4	49
Jan 2025	54	17	2	73
Feb 2025	35	14	3	52
Mar 2025	32	11	0	43
Apr 2025	41	12	4	57
May 2025	41	7	0	48
Jun 2025	61	17	5	83
Jul 2025	42	15	2	59
Aug 2025	57	10	3	70
Sep 2025	64	16	2	82
Oct 2025	41	35	2	78
Nov 2025	15	15	0	30

Latest update: 15 Nov 2025

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Short summary

Our study focused on uncertainties in terrestrial C cycling under newly developed scenarios with CMIP5. This study presents first results for examining relative uncertainties of projected terrestrial C cycling in multiple projection components. Only using our new model inter-comparison project data sets enables us to evaluate various uncertainty sources in projection periods. The information on relative uncertainties is useful for climate science and climate change impact evaluation.