Articles | Volume 17, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-235-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-235-2026
Research article
 | 
05 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 05 Mar 2026

An EOF-Based Emulator of Means and Covariances of Monthly Climate Fields

Gosha Geogdzhayev, Andre N. Souza, Glenn R. Flierl, and Raffaele Ferrari

Model code and software

EarthCovar Gosha Geogdzhayev and Andre N. Souza https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18391766

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Short summary
Climate models serve as good guesses of how humans affect the climate, but they cannot explore all possible future scenarios of interest. We develop a method that can serve as a fast and cheap stand-in to evaluate likely changes in variables like surface temperature and relative humidity at a regional scale in arbitrary future climates. Crucially, our method captures relationships between different geographic areas and predicts both average values and likely ranges using a unified framework.
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