Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-317-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-317-2025
Research article
 | 
26 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 26 Feb 2025

Towards robust community assessments of the Earth's climate sensitivity

Kate Marvel and Mark Webb

Related authors

The Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP) contribution to CMIP7
Paulo Ceppi, Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo, Mark D. Zelinka, Timothy Andrews, Florent Brient, Robin Chadwick, Jonathan M. Gregory, Yen-Ting Hwang, Sarah M. Kang, Jennifer E. Kay, Thorsten Mauritsen, Tomoo Ogura, George Tselioudis, Masahiro Watanabe, Mark J. Webb, and Allison A. Wing
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-398,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-398, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).
Short summary
Impact of ITCZ width on global climate: ITCZ-MIP
Angeline G. Pendergrass, Michael P. Byrne, Oliver Watt-Meyer, Penelope Maher, and Mark J. Webb
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 6365–6378, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6365-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-6365-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Albani, S. and Mahowald, N. M.: Paleodust insights into dust impacts on climate, J. Clim., 32, 7897–7913, 2019. a
Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M., Paynter, D., Silvers, L. G., Zhou, C., Mauritsen, T., Webb, M. J., Armour, K. C., Forster, P. M., and Titchner, H.: Accounting for changing temperature patterns increases historical estimates of climate sensitivity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 8490–8499, 2018. a
Annan, J. D. and Hargreaves, J. C.: A new global reconstruction of temperature changes at the Last Glacial Maximum, Clim. Past, 9, 367–376, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-367-2013, 2013. a, b, c
Annan, J. D., Hargreaves, J. C., and Mauritsen, T.: A new global surface temperature reconstruction for the Last Glacial Maximum, Clim. Past, 18, 1883–1896, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-1883-2022, 2022. a, b
Armour, K. C., Bitz, C. M., and Roe, G. H.: Time-varying climate sensitivity from regional feedbacks, J. Clim., 26, 4518–4534, 2013. a
Download
Short summary
Climate sensitivity (S) to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide has remained stubbornly uncertain for decades. Multiple lines of evidence can be used to constrain S, but any analysis relies on unavoidable subjective decisions. Here, we present a framework for combining the subjective judgments of multiple experts in a fair and robust way.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint