Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-293-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-293-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
Research article
 | 
18 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 18 Feb 2025

Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability

Justine Caillet, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Pierre Mathiot, Fabien Gillet-Chaulet, Benoit Urruty, Clara Burgard, Charles Amory, Mondher Chekki, and Christoph Kittel

Viewed

Total article views: 1,802 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,406 333 63 1,802 65 86
  • HTML: 1,406
  • PDF: 333
  • XML: 63
  • Total: 1,802
  • BibTeX: 65
  • EndNote: 86
Views and downloads (calculated since 08 Feb 2024)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 08 Feb 2024)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 1,802 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,802 with geography defined and 0 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 20 Nov 2025
Download
Short summary
Internal climate variability, resulting from processes intrinsic to the climate system, modulates the Antarctic response to climate change by delaying or offsetting its effects. Using climate and ice-sheet models, we highlight that irreducible internal climate variability significantly enlarges the likely range of Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise until 2100. Thus, we recommend considering internal climate variability as a source of uncertainty for future ice-sheet projections.

Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint