Articles | Volume 16, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2035-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2035-2025
Research article
 | 
19 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 19 Nov 2025

Inconclusive early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores

Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, and Martin Rypdal

Data sets

NEEM ice core High Resolution (0.05m) Water Isotope Ratios (18O/16O, 2H/1H) covering 8-129 ky b2k V. Gkinis et al. https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.925552

Model code and software

Early Warning Signal Analysis of Dansgaard-Oeschger Events Across Greenland Ice Cores C. Hummel https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17609375

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Short summary
We revisit early warning signals (EWS) for past abrupt climate changes known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. Using advanced statistical methods, we find fewer significant EWS than previously reported. While some signals appear consistent across Greenland ice core records, they are not enough to identify the still unknown mechanisms behind DO events. This study highlights the complexity of predicting climate changes and urges caution in interpreting (paleo-)climate data.
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