Volume 16, issue 6

Volume 16, issue 6

30 Oct 2025
Multi-decadal initialized climate predictions using the EC-Earth3 global climate model
Rashed Mahmood, Markus G. Donat, Roberto Bilbao, Pablo Ortega, Vladimir Lapin, Etienne Tourigny, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1923–1934, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1923-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1923-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Evaluating dynamic global vegetation models in China: challenges in capturing trends in leaf area and gross primary productivity
Anzhou Zhao, Ziyang Li, Lidong Zou, Jiansheng Wu, Kayla Stan, and Arturo Sanchez-Azofeifa
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1935–1957, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1935-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1935-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Unravelling the future role of internal variability in South Asian near-surface wind speed
Cheng Shen, Hui-Shuang Yuan, Zhi-Bo Li, Jinling Piao, Youli Chang, and Deliang Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1959–1969, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1959-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1959-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Spatiotemporal variation of growth–stage specific concurrent climate extremes and their impacts on rice yield in southern China
Ran Sun, Tao Ye, Yiqing Liu, Weihang Liu, and Shuo Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1971–1988, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1971-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1971-2025, 2025
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05 Nov 2025
| Highlight paper
Milankovitch theory “as an initial value problem”: Implications of the long memory of ice advection
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky and Dmitry Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 1989–2002, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1989-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1989-2025, 2025
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14 Nov 2025
Climate change metrics: bridging IPCC AR6 updates and dynamic life cycle assessments
Vladimir Zieger, Thibaut Lecompte, Simon Guihéneuf, Yann Guevel, Manuel Bazzana, Thomas Gasser, and Yue He
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2003–2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2003-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2003-2025, 2025
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18 Nov 2025
On a simplified solution of climate-carbon dynamics in idealized flat10MIP simulations
Victor Brovkin, Benjamin M. Sanderson, Noel G. Brizuela, Tomohiro Hajima, Tatiana Ilyina, Chris D. Jones, Charles Koven, David Lawrence, Peter Lawrence, Hongmei Li, Spencer Liddcoat, Anastasia Romanou, Roland Séférian, Lori T. Sentman, Abigail L. S. Swann, Jerry Tjiputra, Tilo Ziehn, and Alexander J. Winkler
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2021–2034, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2021-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2021-2025, 2025
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19 Nov 2025
Inconclusive early warning signals for Dansgaard-Oeschger events across Greenland ice cores
Clara Hummel, Niklas Boers, and Martin Rypdal
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2035–2062, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2035-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2035-2025, 2025
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20 Nov 2025
A saddle-node bifurcation may be causing the AMOC collapse in the Community Earth System Model
René M. van Westen, Elian Vanderborght, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2063–2085, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2063-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2063-2025, 2025
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20 Nov 2025
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Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system
Joseph Clarke, Chris Huntingford, Paul D. L. Ritchie, Rebecca Varney, Mark S. Williamson, and Peter Cox
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2087–2100, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2087-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2087-2025, 2025
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20 Nov 2025
Irreversible phytoplankton community shifts over Subpolar North Atlantic in response to CO2 forcing
Dong-Geon Lee, Eun Young Kwon, Jonghun Kam, and Jong-Seong Kug
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2101–2111, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2101-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2101-2025, 2025
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21 Nov 2025
Dynamic vegetation highlights first-order climate feedbacks and their dependence on the climate mean state
Pascale Braconnot, Nicolas Viovy, and Olivier Marti
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2113–2136, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2113-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2113-2025, 2025
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21 Nov 2025
Evaluating biogeophysical sensitivities to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models using observational constraints
Nikolina Mileva, Julia Pongratz, Vivek K. Arora, Akihiko Ito, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Sonali S. McDermid, Paul A. Miller, Daniele Peano, Roland Séférian, Yanwu Zhang, and Wolfgang Buermann
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2137–2160, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2137-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2137-2025, 2025
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05 Dec 2025
Regional climate imprints of recent historical changes in anthropogenic Near Term Climate Forcers
Alba Santos-Espeso, María Gonçalves Ageitos, Pablo Ortega, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Markus G. Donat, Margarida Samso Cabré, and Saskia Loosveldt Tomas
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2161–2186, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2161-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2161-2025, 2025
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05 Dec 2025
The preseason warming of the Indian Ocean resulting in soybean failure in US
Menghan Li, Xichen Li, Yi Zhou, and Yurong Hou
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2187–2199, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2187-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2187-2025, 2025
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10 Dec 2025
Joint evolution of irrigation, the water cycle and water resources under a strong climate change scenario from 1950 to 2100 in the IPSL-CM6
Pedro Felipe Arboleda-Obando, Agnès Ducharne, Frédérique Cheruy, and Josefine Ghattas
Earth Syst. Dynam., 16, 2201–2223, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2201-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-2201-2025, 2025
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