Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1427-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1427-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
09 Sep 2025
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 09 Sep 2025
| 09 Sep 2025
Multi-centennial climate change in a warming world beyond 2100
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Sahil Sharma
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Nan Rosenbloom
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Keith B. Rodgers
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
WPI-Advanced Institute for Marine Ecosystem Change, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
Ji-Eun Kim
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Eun Young Kwon
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Christian L. E. Franzke
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
In-Won Kim
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
Mohanan Geethalekshmi Sreeush
Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Am Handelshafen 12, 27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
Karl Stein
Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, Republic of Korea
Pusan National University, Busan, Republic of Korea
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Thomas Önskog, Christian L. E. Franzke, and Abdel Hannachi
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This paper examines multi-century consequences of climate change following a simulated reversal of emissions from the SSP3-7.0 (high emissions) scenario in 2100 to net zero in 2250. It demonstrates the potential for very long-term, major committed impacts of the ongoing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
This paper examines multi-century consequences of climate change following a simulated reversal...
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A new 10-member ensemble simulation with the state-of-the-art Earth system model was employed to study the long-term climate response to sustained greenhouse warming through to the year 2500. The findings show that the projected changes in the forced mean state and internal variability during 2101–2500 differ substantially from the 21st-century projections, emphasizing the importance of multi-century perspectives for understanding future climate change and informing effective mitigation strategies.
A new 10-member ensemble simulation with the state-of-the-art Earth system model was employed to...
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