Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1135-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1135-2025
Research article
 | 
18 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 18 Jul 2025

Future changes in regional inter-monthly precipitation patterns of the East Asian summer monsoon and associated uncertainty factors

Yeon-Hee Kim and Seung-Ki Min

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on esd-2024-34', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Dec 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Seung-Ki Min, 07 Jan 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on esd-2024-34', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Seung-Ki Min, 07 Jan 2025
  • RC3: 'Comment on esd-2024-34', Anonymous Referee #3, 17 Dec 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Seung-Ki Min, 07 Jan 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (14 Jan 2025) by Claudia Timmreck
AR by Seung-Ki Min on behalf of the Authors (31 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Apr 2025) by Claudia Timmreck
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (10 Apr 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (24 Apr 2025)
ED: Publish as is (24 Apr 2025) by Claudia Timmreck
AR by Seung-Ki Min on behalf of the Authors (01 May 2025)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
This study evaluated the performance of CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) climate models in simulating East Asian summer precipitation and projected its future changes using regional inter-monthly pattern metrics. CMIP6 models better captured observations with reduced biases compared to CMIP5 models. Future projections indicate an overall intensified monsoon band due to the increased moisture availability. The relative importance of atmospheric circulation and moisture change is identified for inter-model and scenario uncertainty, respectively.
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