Earth System Dynamics
Earth System Dynamics
ESD
Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1001-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-1001-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 4
Research article
 | 
14 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 14 Jul 2025

A multi-model analysis of the decadal prediction skill for the North Atlantic ocean heat content

Teresa Carmo-Costa, Roberto Bilbao, Jon Robson, Ana Teles-Machado, and Pablo Ortega

Viewed

Total article views: 1,647 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,243 334 70 1,647 71 105
  • HTML: 1,243
  • PDF: 334
  • XML: 70
  • Total: 1,647
  • BibTeX: 71
  • EndNote: 105
Views and downloads (calculated since 05 Jun 2024)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 05 Jun 2024)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 1,647 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,621 with geography defined and 26 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 06 Dec 2025
Download
Short summary
Climate models can be used to skilfully predict decadal changes in North Atlantic ocean heat content. However, significant regional differences among these models reveal large uncertainties in the influence of external forcings. This study examines eight climate models to understand the differences in their predictive capacity for the North Atlantic, investigating the importance of external forcings and key model characteristics such as ocean stratification and the local atmospheric forcing.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint