Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
Research article
26 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 26 Apr 2024

Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis

Roberto Bilbao, Pablo Ortega, Didier Swingedouw, Leon Hermanson, Panos Athanasiadis, Rosie Eade, Marion Devilliers, Francisco Doblas-Reyes, Nick Dunstone, An-Chi Ho, William Merryfield, Juliette Mignot, Dario Nicolì, Margarida Samsó, Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso, Xian Wu, and Stephen Yeager


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on esd-2023-36', Davide Zanchettin, 18 Dec 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on esd-2023-36', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 Dec 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Feb 2024) by Claudia Timmreck
AR by Roberto Bilbao on behalf of the Authors (26 Feb 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (01 Mar 2024) by Claudia Timmreck
AR by Roberto Bilbao on behalf of the Authors (07 Mar 2024)  Manuscript 
Short summary
In recent decades three major volcanic eruptions have occurred: Mount Agung in 1963, El Chichón in 1982 and Mount Pinatubo in 1991. In this article we explore the climatic impacts of these volcanic eruptions with a purposefully designed set of simulations from six CMIP6 decadal prediction systems. We analyse the radiative and dynamical responses and show that including the volcanic forcing in these predictions is important to reproduce the observed surface temperature variations.
Final-revised paper